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Transatlantic Air Cargo: Calm Surface, Hidden Currents

Jul 22, 2025 | , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The transatlantic air cargo market may appear steady, with stable capacity and rates, but beneath this surface calm, subtle shifts are reshaping flows, costs, and opportunities, especially on niche routes like Canada–Europe and Mexico–Europe.

While wide-body and freighter capacity from Europe to North America has edged up around 2% so far this year, the opposite direction has slipped by about 1%. Recent months, however, reveal sharp month-on-month jumps, with capacity from Canada to Europe up 14%, and Europe to Canada up 16%. Airlines like Air Canada and Air France-KLM have expanded significantly, while others have held or slightly reduced services.

The capacity surge on Canada–Europe routes coincides with the summer holiday season, boosting passenger belly-hold space. But freight data points to something more: flown tonnages from Europe to Canada jumped around 10% in early July compared with the previous three weeks, though without a corresponding rise in average rates…yet.

On the pricing front, the top end of spot rates between Canada and the UK nearly doubled at the end of June, while France–Canada rates also climbed sharply. Strengthening UK–Canada trade ties, including the UK’s accession to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), are likely adding further momentum, potentially lifting logistics demand across both ocean and air freight.

Elsewhere, European exporters have seen steady or rising air cargo flows to North America:

– Italy has boosted air exports to the US by over one-third, focusing on fashion goods.
– France has lifted exports by nearly half, driven by luxury and pharmaceuticals.
– Norway fish exports to the US have surged over 50%.
– Ireland, concerned about possible US tariffs on pharmaceuticals, has seen air rates to the US climb since May, with sharper increases in July.

Softening Signs, But Cautious Optimism
Overall, transatlantic rates have eased with the arrival of summer and additional belly capacity, particularly on mainline Europe–US routes. Expect stable or slightly reduced spot pricing, typical for this seasonal slack period. However, some airlines are expressing optimism for the second half, buoyed by promising early signals from peak season negotiations.

A delayed US tariff deadline (now 1 August) and new trade measures affecting partners like Japan and South Korea could prompt a short-term wave of airfreight “front-loading.” Longer-term, shifting freighter capacity from Pacific routes toward the transatlantic may rebalance the market, while the removal of US de minimis import exemptions will reshape eCommerce flows into the US.

While today’s transatlantic air cargo market may seem subdued, pockets of demand and policy uncertainty are quietly stirring the waters. Shippers need to be agile to capture emerging opportunities and be prepared for the unexpected.

Metro’s dedicated air freight team and expanding U.S. presence help shippers navigate shifting transatlantic flows with confidence. From capacity management and multimodal routing, to agile supply chain management and inventory visibility, we keep your air cargo moving smoothly — across the Atlantic and around the world. EMAIL our Managing Director, Andy Smith, to learn more.

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Red Sea Return Scuttled by Houthi Vessel Sinking

Jul 22, 2025 | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The deadly July 7 attack on the Eternity C cargo vessel by Yemen’s Houthi rebels marks one of the most severe escalations yet in the Red Sea shipping crisis, reinforcing the view that this vital trade artery will remain off-limits for carriers through 2025. 

The Red Sea, via the Suez Canal, typically handles 30% of global container trade, linking not only Asia and Europe but also acting as a vital transit point for goods moving between Asia and North America, the Mediterranean, and even parts of Africa and Latin America. 

With most container ships now rerouting via Africa’s Cape of Good Hope, what began in late 2023 as a regional security issue has become a global supply chain disruptor, sending shockwaves far beyond the Asia-Europe corridor.

The Global Supply Chain Butterfly Effect

Asia–North America East Coast
Goods from China, Southeast Asia, and India bound for the U.S. East Coast often transit the Suez Canal. Rerouting extends voyages by up to 14 days, tightening container availability, raising costs, and pressuring ports on both coasts to manage capacity mismatches.

Africa–Europe and Africa–Asia
African exporters, including agricultural and mineral suppliers, face longer, costlier routes to reach European and Asian markets, challenging businesses from cocoa traders in West Africa to cobalt miners in the DRC.

Middle East–Europe Energy
Beyond containerised cargo, 20% of global LNG trade and 30% of global oil flows pass through the Red Sea and Strait of Hormuz. Disruptions here drive up global energy prices, affecting industries and consumers worldwide, from European factories to Latin American fuel markets.

Global Shipping Networks
With more ships tied up on extended routes, the global pool of available vessels is effectively reduced, tightening capacity on other trades, including the transpacific (Asia–U.S. West Coast) and transatlantic (U.S.–Europe), even though they don’t pass through the Red Sea.

Industry Effect

Automotive: Impacting not just Europe, but also in North America, as Tier 1 suppliers depend on globally sourced components.

Retail & Fashion: Global brands with cross-regional supply chains face timing, cost, and margin pressures.

Food & Agriculture: Grain, rice, coffee, and fruit trades are experiencing higher freight costs, threatening price inflation in developing markets.

Electronics: Longer lead times impact consumer electronics and critical components like semiconductors.

What’s clear is that the Red Sea crisis is not just a regional challenge. It’s a global supply chain stress test, that will continue to demand resilience, agility, and innovation for some time.

Metro’s supply chain management expertise and advanced MVT technology help shippers adapt on the fly; rerouting cargo, shifting transport modes, and even switching suppliers with agility and precision. From high-level network redesign to SKU-level control, we empower you to overcome disruption with confidence. EMAIL Managing Director, Andy Smith, to learn more.

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UK Bid to Join Pan-Europe Trade Area Blocked

Jul 22, 2025 | , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The UK government’s attempt to join the Pan-Euro-Mediterranean (PEM) Convention, a framework that simplifies supply chains and reduces tariffs across Europe, North Africa, and parts of the Middle East has been blocked by the EU.

Established in 2012 and modernised in 2025, the PEM Convention allows manufacturers in member countries to “cumulate” inputs, counting components sourced from any PEM country as local when determining a product’s origin for tariff purposes. 

So, if a Turkish manufacturer made a machine from EU-sourced parts, the item would be considered as “made in Turkey” when exported to France, benefiting from preferential trade agreements. This enables goods like cars, chemicals, and processed foods to move across borders with reduced  paperwork and lower tariffs.

The convention’s 25 members include the EU, Norway, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, Egypt, Morocco, and Israel. The UK, notably, is one of the few European countries not included.

Joining PEM could ease post-Brexit trade friction, particularly for UK manufacturers relying on complex, multinational supply chains. It would:

– Reduce rules-of-origin paperwork
– Provide greater sourcing flexibility
– Support industries like automotive, chemicals, and food processing

While some experts say the impact would be moderate, others argue it’s a pragmatic step that offers clear benefits without requiring a return to the EU single market or customs union.

Why Is the UK Blocked?
Despite initially signalling openness, the European Commission has withheld support for UK accession, citing concerns that UK-made goods could unfairly qualify for low-tariff access to EU markets.

Technically, incorporating PEM provisions into the EU–UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) would require reopening parts of the Brexit deal and EU officials have indicated they want to stick closely to the “common understanding” agreed at the May UK–EU summit, to avoid further complications.

This block has frustrated UK trade bodies, including the British Chambers of Commerce, which see PEM as a practical tool to improve trade flows.

The UK government has said it will continue to review the potential benefits of PEM and engage with the EU and other PEM members. However, with Brussels signalling little appetite to renegotiate TCA terms, short-term progress may be unlikely.

Metro’s customs specialists design tax-efficient supply chains using bonded warehousing, IPR/OPR, duty drawback, and other regimes to protect your cash flow, minimise duty exposure, and keep you fully compliant. EMAIL Managing Director, Andy Smith, to learn more

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U.S. RoRo Port Fees Set to Disrupt Automotive Logistics

Jul 22, 2025 | , , , , , , , ,

The U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) has confirmed it will introduce new fees on foreign-built roll-on/roll-off (RoRo) car carriers calling at U.S. ports from October 14, 2025, as part of a broader push to counter China’s maritime influence.

The initial fee of $150 per Car Equivalent Unit (CEU) is designed to incentivise shipping lines to invest in U.S. built vessels. A temporary remission is offered to companies that order and take delivery of a U.S. built car carrier of equal or greater capacity within three years. They can avoid the charges during that period.

However, recent USTR updates suggest the fee may shift to a $14 per net ton charge to simplify administration and reduce the risk of fee evasion. The final decision is pending following public consultations.

Impacts on RoRo Operators and Automotive Logistics
Major global vehicle carriers operating between Europe, Asia, and the U.S. are warning of significant cost increases, potentially reaching hundreds of millions of dollars annually. 

A leading Nordic carrier estimates its annual liability could reach $300 million, based on 300–350 annual voyages to the U.S, while another major Norwegian operator projects $60–70 million per year in additional fees.

Major carriers impacted include Japanese operators “K” Line, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, NYK Line, and South Korea’s Hyundai Glovis, all of whom have extensive U.S. vehicle import operations.

While some carriers plan to pass costs onto customers, there is growing concern that surcharges will ripple through supply chains, raising prices for manufacturers, dealers, and ultimately consumers.

There is also confusion over how mixed-use vessels, those carrying both cars and containers will be classified, with some operators calling for fees to be based on actual cargo moved, not total vessel capacity.

The risk of double charges on multi-port U.S. calls is further raising alarm, with some carriers warning they may be forced to reduce or withdraw U.S. services altogether if the fee regime is not clarified or adjusted.

The fees will not apply to U.S. government cargo or vessels operated directly for the government by agents or contractors.

Critics argue that the USTR’s blanket approach to all foreign-built RoRo vessels may create unintended market distortions, harming non-Chinese carriers, squeezing capacity, and undermining U.S. automotive supply chains, while doing little to curb China’s maritime ambitions.

Final regulations are expected before the end of the summer, and the industry is watching closely.

Stay ahead of global logistics shifts, with Metro’s technology and expertise helping you overcome change. Drive automotive supply chain performance with Metro’s specialised logistics solutions. From finished-vehicle transport to after-sales support, we deliver precision, resilience, and cost efficiency across global automotive supply chains. EMAIL Managing Director, Andy Smith, to learn more

Category: Automotive

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