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US tariff uncertainty is becoming a permanent supply chain challenge

US importers face another period of significant trade policy change as the Trump administration expands its use of tariffs across countries, commodities and industries.

The immediate challenge is understanding which measures apply and how they interact. The wider issue is more fundamental: Section 301 is developing into a broad mechanism for imposing additional tariffs, while stricter customs enforcement increases the financial consequences of getting classification, valuation or origin wrong.

For importers, tariff exposure can no longer be treated as a temporary disruption. It increasingly needs to form part of sourcing, landed-cost and customs compliance decisions.

New tariffs broaden importer exposure

The latest changes follow the expiry of temporary Section 122 tariffs introduced in February 2026 after the Supreme Court overturned the administration’s earlier use of emergency powers for its ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs.

On 24 July, the administration introduced new tariffs on 59 countries and the European Union following a Section 301 investigation into goods allegedly produced using forced labour. The measures effectively restored a 10%–12% minimum tariff across economies responsible for around 99% of US imports, although significant product exemptions remain.

The UK was placed in the 10% group rather than the 12.5% tier applied to many other countries. There are product-specific exemptions under the UK-US Economic Prosperity Deal, so the 10% does not apply universally.

UK automotive exports benefit from a 10% tariff within the agreed 100,000-vehicle quota, aerospace goods have preferential treatment, and UK pharmaceutical exports secured 0% tariffs in April 2026. Different Section 232 or other measures can also apply depending on the commodity.

These duties can also stack on top of existing measures, helping push the estimated overall US effective tariff rate to approximately 10.8%.

Some individual measures go considerably further. Selected Brazilian goods face additional tariffs of 25%, while certain Canadian products have been targeted with duties of 50%. From 31 July, some pharmaceutical imports also became subject to tariffs reaching 100%.

More measures could follow. An investigation into excess industrial capacity covers 16 economies, including China, India, Japan and the EU, while further action targeting digital policies and specific industries remains possible.

The near-term outlook therefore points towards continued volatility rather than simplification. Importers should expect tariffs to change by country, product and policy objective, making total landed-cost calculations increasingly important when comparing suppliers and sourcing locations.

Enforcement raises the cost of getting customs wrong

Tariffs are only one part of the financial exposure. US Customs and Border Protection is also moving towards more aggressive enforcement.

Importers face increased scrutiny of the three areas fundamental to duty assessment: tariff classification, customs valuation and country of origin. Errors can result not only in additional duty assessments but potentially penalties where authorities believe tariffs have been avoided.

The scope for mitigating penalties may also be narrowing. Industry analysis indicates that reductions which historically could reach 90% are becoming less readily available, with mitigation potentially limited to around 50% for trusted traders able to demonstrate effective written controls and robust compliance procedures.

This makes customs governance increasingly important. Importers should review classifications, origin determinations and valuation methodologies before goods arrive rather than relying on retrospective corrections.

Procurement contracts also deserve attention. Businesses may need clearer provisions determining which party absorbs new tariffs and what happens if government action materially changes the economics of an existing sourcing agreement.

Tariffs are likely to remain part of the landscape

Legal challenges continue, including action involving 25 US states, but importers should be cautious about building their strategy around the prospect of tariffs disappearing.

Section 301 has expanded well beyond its previous association with China and is increasingly being used across different countries and policy objectives. Further investigations are expected, suggesting additional tariff announcements remain possible.

Even successful legal challenges may not deliver lasting certainty if the administration replaces overturned measures using alternative statutory authority.

For importers, this changes the emphasis from reacting to individual tariff announcements to building greater resilience into customs and sourcing strategies. That means modelling landed costs under different tariff scenarios, reviewing alternative origins and suppliers, maintaining accurate customs data and identifying opportunities to use legitimate duty-management mechanisms.

Metro’s growing US footprint combined with customs brokerage capability at every US gateway gives importers the support they need as tariff and enforcement requirements become more complex. Our teams can review classification, valuation, origin and duty exposure before cargo moves, identify potential customs risks and help you understand how changing tariffs affect your true landed cost.

With US trade policy changing quickly, don’t wait for a new tariff or customs intervention to expose a problem. Talk to Metro now about reviewing your imports, customs compliance and duty exposure. EMAIL Managing Director Andrew Smith.

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Sterling strengthens against the US dollar; what it means for importers and exporters

The pound has been strengthening against the US dollar, improving sterling buying power for many UK businesses purchasing goods and services priced in dollars.

For importers, that's welcome news. A stronger pound can reduce the sterling cost of overseas purchases, international freight, fuel and other dollar-linked expenses. However, exchange rates are only one part of the equation.

The recent rise in GBP/USD has been driven largely by a weaker US dollar rather than a dramatic improvement in the UK economy.

Several factors have combined to support sterling:

Markets expect US interest rates to fall

Investors increasingly believe the US Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates sooner than previously expected as economic growth moderates.

Lower interest rates generally make the dollar less attractive to investors, reducing demand for the currency.

The Bank of England remains more cautious

Although UK growth remains subdued, inflation—particularly in wages and services—continues to influence Bank of England policy.

With UK interest rates expected to remain higher for longer than US rates, sterling has become relatively more attractive.

Investors are taking less defensive positions

During periods of global uncertainty, investors typically move money into the US dollar because it is viewed as a safe-haven currency.

As market sentiment has improved, some of that demand has eased, allowing sterling to recover.

The UK economy has proved more resilient than expected

Economic growth remains modest, but the UK has avoided some of the more severe downturns previously anticipated.

That has helped maintain confidence in sterling despite ongoing economic challenges.

Yet, the pound could weaken again

Foreign exchange markets can move quickly and remain highly sensitive to:

  • US employment figures
  • Inflation data
  • Federal Reserve and Bank of England announcements
  • Geopolitical events
  • Changes in investor confidence

Exchange rates can reverse rapidly as market expectations change.

What this means for your business

For companies involved in international trade, a stronger pound creates opportunities, but also some important considerations.

Purchasing goods in US dollars

If your suppliers invoice in US dollars, sterling now buys more dollars than it did only a few weeks ago.

This can reduce the cost of imported products, raw materials and overseas services.

However, savings may not appear immediately if:

  • purchases are already hedged
  • contracts are fixed at earlier exchange rates
  • suppliers review prices only periodically

Freight and fuel costs

Many international transport costs are linked directly or indirectly to the US dollar.

These include:

  • ocean freight
  • air freight
  • bunker fuel
  • aviation fuel
  • fuel surcharges
  • equipment charges

A stronger pound can reduce these costs in sterling terms.

However, exchange-rate gains can easily be offset by rising oil prices, emergency carrier surcharges or changes in freight market capacity.

Export revenues

Businesses selling into dollar markets face the opposite effect.

Each dollar of revenue converts into fewer pounds when sterling strengthens, potentially reducing margins unless prices are adjusted or currency exposure is managed.

Budgeting and pricing

Periods of exchange-rate movement are a good opportunity to review:

  • customer pricing
  • freight assumptions
  • tender calculations
  • landed-cost models
  • cost recovery mechanisms

Rather than relying on a single exchange-rate assumption, businesses should consider a range of scenarios when preparing longer-term quotations or contracts.

Practical steps to consider

Businesses with significant US dollar exposure should consider:

  • Reviewing how much of their purchasing and sales activity is linked to the US dollar.
  • Checking whether pricing mechanisms reflect current exchange-rate movements.
  • Understanding whether freight costs are based on spot exchange rates, fixed pricing or published conversion indices.
  • Considering hedging or fixed-rate arrangements where currency exposure is significant and predictable.
  • Regularly updating budgets and tenders to reflect changing market conditions rather than relying on outdated assumptions.

Understanding how changing exchange rates could affect your freight costs or supply chain. Metro's finance experts can help you assess the wider logistics impact and identify opportunities to improve cost control across your international shipments.

EMAIL Laurence Burford, Chief Financial Officer.

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UK trade deals open new opportunities

The UK's trade agenda continues to gather momentum, creating new opportunities for businesses trading internationally, while reshaping the way they access global markets. 

The most recent agreements with major trading partners across Asia-Pacific, the Gulf, North America and Europe have expanded market access, reduced tariffs and strengthened supply chain resilience.

For UK businesses, these agreements represent far more than diplomatic milestones. They offer practical commercial advantages, from lower export costs and simplified market access to stronger supply chains and improved regulatory cooperation. While some negotiations remain ongoing, the overall direction is clear: the UK is building an increasingly diverse portfolio of international trading relationships that extends well beyond traditional European markets. 

UK-EU relations continue to evolve

Although the planned UK-EU summit scheduled for July has been postponed following the change in UK political leadership, negotiations have continued behind the scenes.

Officials are progressing work on the mandatory five-year review of the Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA), alongside wider discussions aimed at improving the trading relationship.

Several areas could deliver tangible benefits for businesses. Negotiations on sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) standards are intended to reduce border checks on food and agricultural exports, while discussions continue around linking UK and EU emissions trading systems, cooperation on electricity infrastructure and broader regulatory alignment.

While no major changes have yet been agreed, businesses trading with Europe should continue to monitor developments, as incremental improvements to customs procedures and border processes could reduce friction for many exporters over the coming months.

CPTPP becomes a reality for UK exporters

One of the most significant developments has been Mexico's ratification of the UK's accession to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) on 22 June 2026.

With Canada expected to complete implementation in September, UK businesses will soon benefit from preferential access across all twelve CPTPP member economies, creating one of the world's largest free trade areas spanning Asia-Pacific, North America and Latin America.

Collectively, CPTPP countries account for around 15% of global GDP and more than 500 million consumers. For exporters, the agreement opens new opportunities across manufacturing, consumer goods, food and drink, automotive, technology and professional services, while giving businesses greater flexibility to diversify international supply chains beyond traditional markets.

Gulf agreement strengthens access to a fast-growing region

May’s new Free Trade Agreement with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) represents another important step in expanding Britain's global trading relationships.

Covering Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, the agreement is expected to remove hundreds of millions of pounds in annual tariffs on British exports once fully implemented.

Products including food, beverages and consumer goods are expected to benefit from lower duties, while wider provisions covering digital trade, investment and business mobility should make it easier for UK companies to establish and grow commercial operations throughout the Gulf.

For businesses already trading with the Middle East, the agreement offers greater certainty at a time when the region continues to play an increasingly important role in global logistics and supply chains.

Switzerland opens new opportunities for UK exporters

The UK's latest agreement with Switzerland further expands opportunities for British exporters, particularly across agriculture and food production.

The new Free Trade Agreement removes or reduces tariffs on a wide range of British agricultural exports, including lamb, vegetables, dairy products, beef and sparkling wine, while also strengthening services trade between the two countries.

The agreement, which was finalised on 13 July is expected to increase bilateral trade by more than £7 billion annually, reinforcing Switzerland's importance as one of the UK's highest-value trading partners.

UK-US cooperation goes beyond tariffs

The UK and United States continue to strengthen their trading relationship through pharmaceutical supply chain agreement signed at the end of 2025.

The arrangement protects more than £5 billion of annual UK pharmaceutical exports from tariffs while creating closer cooperation on medicine availability, manufacturing resilience and regulatory alignment.

Beyond the life sciences sector, the agreement demonstrates a growing emphasis on supply chain resilience rather than simply reducing tariffs. Greater cooperation on trusted sourcing, manufacturing capacity and regulatory processes reflects the increasing importance governments are placing on securing critical supply chains in strategically important industries.

Turning opportunity into competitive advantage

Securing a trade agreement is only the first step. Real commercial success depends on understanding customs requirements, managing international logistics and building resilient supply chains capable of supporting long-term growth.

Metro helps businesses take full advantage of emerging global trade opportunities through integrated freight forwarding, customs expertise and end-to-end supply chain management. Whether you're looking at new sourcing options or expanding into Europe, North America, the Gulf or the Asia-Pacific region, our global network and local specialists help simplify international trade while reducing cost, risk and complexity.

To discover how Metro can help your business unlock new international trading opportunities, EMAIL Managing Director Andrew Smith today.

steel in car manufacturing

UK steel tariff changes reshape import costs

The UK’s incoming steel trade measures are set to reshape import dynamics almost overnight, with significant cost and compliance implications for manufacturers, construction firms, and industrial supply chains.

From 1 July 2026, the UK will replace its current steel safeguards with a far more restrictive tariff rate quota (TRQ) system. Tariff-free quotas will be cut by around 60% overall, with some key product categories seeing reductions of up to 90%. At the same time, the duty applied to volumes above quota will double to 50%.

The measures apply across approximately 20 steel product categories, including flat products, bars, and pipes, and notably apply regardless of origin, including imports from EU and other trade agreement partners.

While positioned as a move to protect domestic steel production, the reality for importers is a much tighter and more punitive operating environment.

Why this matters for importers

For UK businesses reliant on imported steel, including automotive, machinery, construction, and engineering, the changes introduce both immediate cost risk and ongoing supply uncertainty.

The most significant shift is how quickly quotas are expected to be exhausted. With volumes sharply reduced, many categories could run out within days or weeks of each quarter opening, rather than lasting the full period. Once quotas are filled, any additional imports will face a 50% duty, creating a substantial and potentially unmanageable cost increase.

At the same time, domestic supply is unlikely to fill the gap. Many manufacturers rely on specific grades or forms of steel that are not readily available in the UK, meaning substitution is not always viable.

Rising costs and supply chain pressure

Industry bodies are already warning of widespread disruption. Higher input costs are expected to ripple through supply chains, increasing production costs and reducing competitiveness for UK manufacturers.

There is also growing concern around material availability. In sectors such as construction, limited domestic capacity combined with tighter import restrictions could lead to shortages of key products, delaying projects and adding further cost pressure.

For exporters, the impact is twofold: higher input costs at home and increased competition from overseas producers who are not subject to the same tariff burden.

Operational complexity increases

Beyond cost, the new regime introduces a more complex and time-sensitive import process.

The TRQ system will continue to operate on a first-come, first-served basis, with quarterly allocations managed through HMRC. This puts significant pressure on timing, both in terms of shipment planning and customs entry.

If a shipment is declared after a quota has been exhausted, it will immediately fall into the higher duty bracket, regardless of when it was shipped. This makes accurate forecasting, documentation, and coordination between supply chain partners critical.

Importers will need to pay close attention to:

  • Entry timing versus quota availability.
  • Correct tariff classification and documentation.
  • Coordination between forwarders, brokers, and internal teams.
  • Monitoring quota usage in near real time.

Even small missteps could result in substantial, avoidable duty exposure.

Behavioural shifts already underway

In response, many importers are already adjusting their strategies. There are signs of front-loading shipments ahead of the July deadline, alongside contingency planning based on higher landed cost scenarios.

Some businesses are modelling worst-case pricing as a baseline, while others are reviewing sourcing strategies or considering inventory increases to mitigate risk.

However, these are short-term responses. Longer term, the market may see shifts in sourcing patterns, pricing structures, and even production locations if cost pressures 

persist.

With additional measures such as the UK’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) due to follow in 2027, importers face a longer-term trajectory of rising complexity and cost.

The new steel regime will penalise those who don’t plan ahead and prepare. Metro’s customs and compliance experts are already supporting clients with quota planning, tariff classification, and import strategy to minimise risk and control costs.

For tailored guidance on how these changes will affect your business, EMAIL Andy Fitchett, Metro’s Head of Customs & Compliance.