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India’s sourcing growth creates pressure at both ends of the supply chain

UK businesses sourcing from India face rising logistics costs before and after production, as more expensive Asian imports combine with tight westbound capacity and strong India–Europe demand.

India continues to strengthen its position as a manufacturing and sourcing alternative for UK and European businesses. But the cost of moving goods through the supply chains supporting that growth is rising.

The pressure starts well before finished products leave India. Many manufacturers rely on machinery, components, chemicals, electronics and other inputs imported from China and neighbouring Asian markets. Freight costs on those inbound routes have risen sharply, increasing the cost base for Indian production.

At the same time, strong exports are tightening India–Europe container capacity and pushing westbound freight costs higher.

For UK buyers, that creates a potential double freight squeeze, with logistics inflation entering the product cost upstream before another layer is added on the journey to Europe.

Asian imports into India become more expensive

The first pressure point is emerging on eastbound services into India.

During August, Shanghai–Nhava Sheva spot rates have almost doubled compared with July, while Shanghai–Chennai rates have increased by around 60%. Costs from other Asian origins, including Singapore, have also risen significantly.

Strong seasonal imports ahead of India's festival period are contributing to demand, while congestion at major Asian hubs has disrupted schedules and tightened available capacity.

For Indian importers, the impact extends beyond freight rates. Changing schedules and less predictable transit times make it harder to manage inbound inventory and maintain reliable production flows.

Higher freight feeds into manufacturing costs

The significance for UK buyers comes from China's deep integration into Indian manufacturing.

Rising transport costs for the raw materials and components feeding Indian factories may initially be absorbed through manufacturer margins. If elevated costs persist, however, some will inevitably feed into production costs and finished-product pricing.

That creates a supply-chain exposure that may be difficult to see when procurement decisions focus primarily on the factory price.

An Indian-made product can already contain significant logistics costs before it enters a container for its journey to the UK.

Strong exports tighten the westbound market

The second pressure point is India–Europe shipping.

Indian containerised exports to Europe reached an estimated 518,000 TEU during the first half of 2026, with stronger-than-expected demand creating a pronounced capacity squeeze.

Westbound rates increased again during August and are approaching levels last experienced around four years ago. Space has become increasingly difficult to secure, with some leading India–Europe services selling out several weeks ahead and additional spot capacity appearing only as carriers release allocations.

The problem is not simply growing demand. Available capacity has struggled to keep pace.

Blank sailings, congestion and rolled cargo at Nhava Sheva and Mundra are reducing effective space, while some capacity has been redirected towards growing Latin American flows using Indian ports for transhipment.

For cargo owners, guaranteed space can therefore command a premium, while less flexible shipments face greater rollover and delay risks.

Look beyond the supplier price

India's manufacturing scale and expanding trade relationships continue to make it an important sourcing market. But the changing freight environment reinforces the need to assess the complete landed cost of sourcing there.

A product assembled using Chinese or other Asian components may now carry substantially higher inbound logistics costs. Moving the finished goods from India to the UK then adds a second layer of freight inflation.

For lower-margin or freight-intensive products in particular, those combined costs could materially affect sourcing economics.

Timing matters too. With strong westbound bookings and constrained capacity, waiting for cheaper freight could leave importers competing for even tighter space.

Businesses can reduce that exposure by understanding upstream supply flows, consolidating shipments where appropriate and planning westbound capacity earlier.

Manage the whole supply chain, not just the final leg

The growing relationship between Chinese inputs, Indian manufacturing and European demand means these movements cannot always be managed effectively in isolation.

Metro can connect the complete Asia–India–UK supply chain, providing visibility from upstream suppliers through Indian production and onward to the UK. 

With extensive Indian based capabilities, global carrier relationships, consolidation and alternative routing options, we can identify where cost and capacity pressures are building and act before they reach your bottom line. EMAIL Andrew Smith, Metro’s Managing Director, to learn about protecting your landed cost from origin to destination.

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Sterling strengthens against the US dollar; what it means for importers and exporters

The pound has been strengthening against the US dollar, improving sterling buying power for many UK businesses purchasing goods and services priced in dollars.

For importers, that's welcome news. A stronger pound can reduce the sterling cost of overseas purchases, international freight, fuel and other dollar-linked expenses. However, exchange rates are only one part of the equation.

The recent rise in GBP/USD has been driven largely by a weaker US dollar rather than a dramatic improvement in the UK economy.

Several factors have combined to support sterling:

Markets expect US interest rates to fall

Investors increasingly believe the US Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates sooner than previously expected as economic growth moderates.

Lower interest rates generally make the dollar less attractive to investors, reducing demand for the currency.

The Bank of England remains more cautious

Although UK growth remains subdued, inflation—particularly in wages and services—continues to influence Bank of England policy.

With UK interest rates expected to remain higher for longer than US rates, sterling has become relatively more attractive.

Investors are taking less defensive positions

During periods of global uncertainty, investors typically move money into the US dollar because it is viewed as a safe-haven currency.

As market sentiment has improved, some of that demand has eased, allowing sterling to recover.

The UK economy has proved more resilient than expected

Economic growth remains modest, but the UK has avoided some of the more severe downturns previously anticipated.

That has helped maintain confidence in sterling despite ongoing economic challenges.

Yet, the pound could weaken again

Foreign exchange markets can move quickly and remain highly sensitive to:

  • US employment figures
  • Inflation data
  • Federal Reserve and Bank of England announcements
  • Geopolitical events
  • Changes in investor confidence

Exchange rates can reverse rapidly as market expectations change.

What this means for your business

For companies involved in international trade, a stronger pound creates opportunities, but also some important considerations.

Purchasing goods in US dollars

If your suppliers invoice in US dollars, sterling now buys more dollars than it did only a few weeks ago.

This can reduce the cost of imported products, raw materials and overseas services.

However, savings may not appear immediately if:

  • purchases are already hedged
  • contracts are fixed at earlier exchange rates
  • suppliers review prices only periodically

Freight and fuel costs

Many international transport costs are linked directly or indirectly to the US dollar.

These include:

  • ocean freight
  • air freight
  • bunker fuel
  • aviation fuel
  • fuel surcharges
  • equipment charges

A stronger pound can reduce these costs in sterling terms.

However, exchange-rate gains can easily be offset by rising oil prices, emergency carrier surcharges or changes in freight market capacity.

Export revenues

Businesses selling into dollar markets face the opposite effect.

Each dollar of revenue converts into fewer pounds when sterling strengthens, potentially reducing margins unless prices are adjusted or currency exposure is managed.

Budgeting and pricing

Periods of exchange-rate movement are a good opportunity to review:

  • customer pricing
  • freight assumptions
  • tender calculations
  • landed-cost models
  • cost recovery mechanisms

Rather than relying on a single exchange-rate assumption, businesses should consider a range of scenarios when preparing longer-term quotations or contracts.

Practical steps to consider

Businesses with significant US dollar exposure should consider:

  • Reviewing how much of their purchasing and sales activity is linked to the US dollar.
  • Checking whether pricing mechanisms reflect current exchange-rate movements.
  • Understanding whether freight costs are based on spot exchange rates, fixed pricing or published conversion indices.
  • Considering hedging or fixed-rate arrangements where currency exposure is significant and predictable.
  • Regularly updating budgets and tenders to reflect changing market conditions rather than relying on outdated assumptions.

Understanding how changing exchange rates could affect your freight costs or supply chain. Metro's finance experts can help you assess the wider logistics impact and identify opportunities to improve cost control across your international shipments.

EMAIL Laurence Burford, Chief Financial Officer.

Trade handshake

UK trade deals open new opportunities

The UK's trade agenda continues to gather momentum, creating new opportunities for businesses trading internationally, while reshaping the way they access global markets. 

The most recent agreements with major trading partners across Asia-Pacific, the Gulf, North America and Europe have expanded market access, reduced tariffs and strengthened supply chain resilience.

For UK businesses, these agreements represent far more than diplomatic milestones. They offer practical commercial advantages, from lower export costs and simplified market access to stronger supply chains and improved regulatory cooperation. While some negotiations remain ongoing, the overall direction is clear: the UK is building an increasingly diverse portfolio of international trading relationships that extends well beyond traditional European markets. 

UK-EU relations continue to evolve

Although the planned UK-EU summit scheduled for July has been postponed following the change in UK political leadership, negotiations have continued behind the scenes.

Officials are progressing work on the mandatory five-year review of the Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA), alongside wider discussions aimed at improving the trading relationship.

Several areas could deliver tangible benefits for businesses. Negotiations on sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) standards are intended to reduce border checks on food and agricultural exports, while discussions continue around linking UK and EU emissions trading systems, cooperation on electricity infrastructure and broader regulatory alignment.

While no major changes have yet been agreed, businesses trading with Europe should continue to monitor developments, as incremental improvements to customs procedures and border processes could reduce friction for many exporters over the coming months.

CPTPP becomes a reality for UK exporters

One of the most significant developments has been Mexico's ratification of the UK's accession to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) on 22 June 2026.

With Canada expected to complete implementation in September, UK businesses will soon benefit from preferential access across all twelve CPTPP member economies, creating one of the world's largest free trade areas spanning Asia-Pacific, North America and Latin America.

Collectively, CPTPP countries account for around 15% of global GDP and more than 500 million consumers. For exporters, the agreement opens new opportunities across manufacturing, consumer goods, food and drink, automotive, technology and professional services, while giving businesses greater flexibility to diversify international supply chains beyond traditional markets.

Gulf agreement strengthens access to a fast-growing region

May’s new Free Trade Agreement with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) represents another important step in expanding Britain's global trading relationships.

Covering Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, the agreement is expected to remove hundreds of millions of pounds in annual tariffs on British exports once fully implemented.

Products including food, beverages and consumer goods are expected to benefit from lower duties, while wider provisions covering digital trade, investment and business mobility should make it easier for UK companies to establish and grow commercial operations throughout the Gulf.

For businesses already trading with the Middle East, the agreement offers greater certainty at a time when the region continues to play an increasingly important role in global logistics and supply chains.

Switzerland opens new opportunities for UK exporters

The UK's latest agreement with Switzerland further expands opportunities for British exporters, particularly across agriculture and food production.

The new Free Trade Agreement removes or reduces tariffs on a wide range of British agricultural exports, including lamb, vegetables, dairy products, beef and sparkling wine, while also strengthening services trade between the two countries.

The agreement, which was finalised on 13 July is expected to increase bilateral trade by more than £7 billion annually, reinforcing Switzerland's importance as one of the UK's highest-value trading partners.

UK-US cooperation goes beyond tariffs

The UK and United States continue to strengthen their trading relationship through pharmaceutical supply chain agreement signed at the end of 2025.

The arrangement protects more than £5 billion of annual UK pharmaceutical exports from tariffs while creating closer cooperation on medicine availability, manufacturing resilience and regulatory alignment.

Beyond the life sciences sector, the agreement demonstrates a growing emphasis on supply chain resilience rather than simply reducing tariffs. Greater cooperation on trusted sourcing, manufacturing capacity and regulatory processes reflects the increasing importance governments are placing on securing critical supply chains in strategically important industries.

Turning opportunity into competitive advantage

Securing a trade agreement is only the first step. Real commercial success depends on understanding customs requirements, managing international logistics and building resilient supply chains capable of supporting long-term growth.

Metro helps businesses take full advantage of emerging global trade opportunities through integrated freight forwarding, customs expertise and end-to-end supply chain management. Whether you're looking at new sourcing options or expanding into Europe, North America, the Gulf or the Asia-Pacific region, our global network and local specialists help simplify international trade while reducing cost, risk and complexity.

To discover how Metro can help your business unlock new international trading opportunities, EMAIL Managing Director Andrew Smith today.

Investigation

US Customs and Border Protection to target undervaluation and DDP abuse

President Trump’s new customs enforcement drive is turning DDP and other seller‑controlled models into a high‑risk area, especially where duties are undervalued or the true importer of record is unclear.

The 3 June 2026 “Strengthening Customs Enforcement” executive order marks a significant tightening of how US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) vets and polices importers of record. It directs CBP to raise minimum asset and bond requirements, collect more detailed data at registration, and classify importers into risk‑based tiers linked to their compliance history.

Importers will have to disclose anticipated import volumes, beneficial ownership, business affiliations and domestic assets, and maintain a defined “good standing” status to continue importing or appointing a customs broker. Foreign‑based importers face additional restrictions, including limits on informal entries and tighter conditions for using continuous bonds.

Why DDP and DAP are in the spotlight

Higher tariffs in Trump’s second term have nudged contract terms towards Delivered Duty Paid (DDP) and similar structures, where the seller takes responsibility for duties, taxes and customs clearance. On paper, this can simplify life for buyers, but it also shifts control of declarations and valuations to the party with the strongest incentive to cut landed costs.

CBP has highlighted undervaluation, mis-declaration and opaque importer structures as priority enforcement areas. In a DDP or DAP model with a foreign importer of record, there is a heightened risk that declared values are artificially low, classification is aggressive, or the nominal importer is a thinly capitalised shell with few US assets. These are exactly the patterns the new regime is designed to catch.

Delivered Duty Paid arrangements often rely on overseas documentation and invoicing that CBP cannot easily verify at the border. Low‑value or informal entries have historically been harder to police, and this has created room for abuse, such as splitting shipments, manipulating invoice values or using rebates that never appear on the customs invoice.

Under the new enforcement approach, CBP is explicitly targeting misclassification, undervaluation and duty‑avoidance schemes. With higher tariffs in play, the financial upside of under‑declaring value is greater, but so is the downside: higher penalty floors, fewer mitigation options, and an increased likelihood of audits, holds, and retrospective assessments if patterns look suspicious.

Foreign IORs and “shell” structures

The executive order draws a sharper distinction between US and foreign importers of record, and seeks to close loopholes that have allowed foreign entities to mimic US presence using shell companies. To qualify as a US importer, entities will need a genuine US footprint: incorporation under US law, a principal place of business in the US, tangible domestic assets and identifiable US beneficial owners.

Foreign IORs will be barred from using informal entries and will face stricter bond and vetting requirements for formal entries, often needing validation via trusted trader programmes or a validated US customs broker. This makes it more difficult for lightly capitalised overseas sellers to hide behind complex structures when operating DDP models into the US.

Higher penalties, more data, more audits

The enforcement framework is also being hardened across the board. CBP is moving to set minimum penalty and liquidated damages floors, reduce mitigation options, particularly for repeat offenders, and expand the use of audits and data‑driven targeting. Brokers that turn a blind eye to high‑risk clients, or fail to exercise due diligence, can expect higher penalties and closer scrutiny.

Importers will be required to submit additional documentation, including the same export paperwork filed with the foreign customs authority, supply chain certifications and more detailed product specifications. This expanded dataset supports CBP’s increasing use of analytics and AI to flag unusual trade patterns, valuation anomalies, and sudden shifts in importer or routing behaviour.

If your US trade relies on DDP, DAP or foreign importer‑of‑record models, this new enforcement environment demands a fresh look at your structures, contracts and declarations before CBP does it for you.

To review your current arrangements, assess your exposure and design a compliant, resilient approach to US customs under the new rules, please EMAIL Andy Fitchett, Metro’s Head of Customs & Compliance.