Investigation

US Customs and Border Protection to target undervaluation and DDP abuse

President Trump’s new customs enforcement drive is turning DDP and other seller‑controlled models into a high‑risk area, especially where duties are undervalued or the true importer of record is unclear.

The 3 June 2026 “Strengthening Customs Enforcement” executive order marks a significant tightening of how US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) vets and polices importers of record. It directs CBP to raise minimum asset and bond requirements, collect more detailed data at registration, and classify importers into risk‑based tiers linked to their compliance history.

Importers will have to disclose anticipated import volumes, beneficial ownership, business affiliations and domestic assets, and maintain a defined “good standing” status to continue importing or appointing a customs broker. Foreign‑based importers face additional restrictions, including limits on informal entries and tighter conditions for using continuous bonds.

Why DDP and DAP are in the spotlight

Higher tariffs in Trump’s second term have nudged contract terms towards Delivered Duty Paid (DDP) and similar structures, where the seller takes responsibility for duties, taxes and customs clearance. On paper, this can simplify life for buyers, but it also shifts control of declarations and valuations to the party with the strongest incentive to cut landed costs.

CBP has highlighted undervaluation, mis-declaration and opaque importer structures as priority enforcement areas. In a DDP or DAP model with a foreign importer of record, there is a heightened risk that declared values are artificially low, classification is aggressive, or the nominal importer is a thinly capitalised shell with few US assets. These are exactly the patterns the new regime is designed to catch.

Delivered Duty Paid arrangements often rely on overseas documentation and invoicing that CBP cannot easily verify at the border. Low‑value or informal entries have historically been harder to police, and this has created room for abuse, such as splitting shipments, manipulating invoice values or using rebates that never appear on the customs invoice.

Under the new enforcement approach, CBP is explicitly targeting misclassification, undervaluation and duty‑avoidance schemes. With higher tariffs in play, the financial upside of under‑declaring value is greater, but so is the downside: higher penalty floors, fewer mitigation options, and an increased likelihood of audits, holds, and retrospective assessments if patterns look suspicious.

Foreign IORs and “shell” structures

The executive order draws a sharper distinction between US and foreign importers of record, and seeks to close loopholes that have allowed foreign entities to mimic US presence using shell companies. To qualify as a US importer, entities will need a genuine US footprint: incorporation under US law, a principal place of business in the US, tangible domestic assets and identifiable US beneficial owners.

Foreign IORs will be barred from using informal entries and will face stricter bond and vetting requirements for formal entries, often needing validation via trusted trader programmes or a validated US customs broker. This makes it more difficult for lightly capitalised overseas sellers to hide behind complex structures when operating DDP models into the US.

Higher penalties, more data, more audits

The enforcement framework is also being hardened across the board. CBP is moving to set minimum penalty and liquidated damages floors, reduce mitigation options, particularly for repeat offenders, and expand the use of audits and data‑driven targeting. Brokers that turn a blind eye to high‑risk clients, or fail to exercise due diligence, can expect higher penalties and closer scrutiny.

Importers will be required to submit additional documentation, including the same export paperwork filed with the foreign customs authority, supply chain certifications and more detailed product specifications. This expanded dataset supports CBP’s increasing use of analytics and AI to flag unusual trade patterns, valuation anomalies, and sudden shifts in importer or routing behaviour.

If your US trade relies on DDP, DAP or foreign importer‑of‑record models, this new enforcement environment demands a fresh look at your structures, contracts and declarations before CBP does it for you.

To review your current arrangements, assess your exposure and design a compliant, resilient approach to US customs under the new rules, please EMAIL Andy Fitchett, Metro’s Head of Customs & Compliance.

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UK Financial Outlook: Impact of Middle East Tensions

Global freight markets remain heavily influenced by instability across the Middle East, with disruption to ocean and air networks sustaining elevated costs, longer transit times and growing operational volatility. 

Restricted energy flows are continuing to drive sharp increases in bunker and jet fuel pricing, while reducing effective transport capacity well beyond the Gulf region.

For the UK, the impact is particularly significant. As a major energy importer, the economy remains highly exposed to rising oil and gas prices, with the resulting cost pressures now feeding rapidly into logistics, manufacturing and wider financial markets.

Oil prices have risen sharply in recent months, while UK gas prices have also moved significantly higher. This has renewed inflationary pressure across the economy, increasing transport and supply chain costs while also pushing up the price of consumer and industrial goods.

The current environment increasingly mirrors the energy shock seen in 2022, although the transmission through financial and logistics markets is now occurring more quickly due to the continued fragility and interconnected nature of global supply chains.

At the same time, wider economic indicators remain mixed. UK manufacturing activity strengthened in April, with the PMI rising to 53.7, its highest level since May 2022, supported by improved domestic and export demand. However, supply chain pressure intensified sharply during the same period, pushing input costs higher and weakening overall business confidence.

Consumer and industrial sentiment also remains cautious, with inflation concerns, higher utility costs and geopolitical uncertainty continuing to weigh on demand expectations and investment appetite.

Higher borrowing costs and weaker confidence

Financial markets have reacted quickly to the worsening outlook. At the start of 2026, expectations centred around a gradual cycle of UK interest rate cuts. That narrative has now shifted materially, with markets increasingly pricing in a “higher for longer” interest rate environment as policymakers attempt to manage renewed inflation risks.

The Bank of England now faces a difficult balancing act. Much of the inflationary pressure is externally driven by energy disruption and supply constraints, meaning higher interest rates alone cannot resolve the underlying cause. However, allowing inflation to remain elevated risks embedding longer-term cost pressures across the wider economy.

As a result, expectations for rate reductions have largely been pushed back, while the possibility of rates remaining elevated for an extended period has increased significantly.

Currency and bond markets are also reflecting growing uncertainty. Sterling has become more volatile as investors weigh higher UK interest rate expectations against concerns around weaker growth and rising import costs. Meanwhile, UK gilt yields have risen sharply, increasing borrowing costs across government, corporate and household sectors.

For businesses, the implications are becoming increasingly clear. Rising fuel and transport costs are creating additional margin pressure at the same time as higher financing costs reduce investment flexibility and increase operational risk.

In logistics markets, these pressures are compounding existing disruption across freight networks. Longer transit times, volatile routing conditions and elevated operating costs are continuing to affect ocean, air and road freight movements, reinforcing the need for greater agility and contingency planning across supply chains.

Planning for continued volatility

Much will now depend on the duration of disruption across the Middle East and the trajectory of global energy prices. A stabilisation in energy markets could help ease inflationary pressure later in the year. However, any prolonged restriction to energy flows or escalation in regional tensions is likely to sustain upward pressure across fuel, transport and borrowing costs.

For UK businesses, the operating environment is increasingly being shaped by geopolitics as much as underlying demand. Preparing for continued volatility, tighter financial conditions and more complex supply chain risks is therefore becoming a central part of operational and commercial planning.

Metro continues to support customers with flexible routing solutions, multimodal freight options and proactive supply chain planning designed to help businesses respond more effectively to changing market conditions, rising cost pressure and ongoing disruption across global transport networks.

To discuss how current economic and supply chain conditions could impact your business, EMAIL Laurence Burford, Chief Financial Officer.