Indian port congestion looms

Cargo Rush Sparks Port Congestion and Equipment Shortages

May 26, 2025 | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The recent 90-day pause on US tariffs on Chinese imports has sparked a dramatic surge in demand, as American importers scramble to front-load shipments ahead of the 14 August deadline. The demand spike is now placing considerable pressure on supply chains across Asia and Europe, threatening to disrupt global freight flows into the traditional peak season.

Freight bookings from China to the US rocketed 300% in just one week, marking the highest volume levels of the year so far, as US importers use the temporary reprieve to push through previously delayed shipments.

While the tariff rate remains high at 30%, it is significantly lower than the 145% rates imposed earlier in the spring. Importers are moving quickly to take advantage of this limited window of cost certainty, but the consequences are already being felt far beyond China’s borders.

With ships now flooding back into Chinese ports, congestion has rapidly intensified:

  • Shanghai and Qingdao are experiencing berth waiting times of 24–72 hours.
  • Ningbo reports delays of 24–36 hours, while the congestion there is now worsening due to diverted volumes.
  • Busan is reporting 72-hour waits at the PNIT Terminal.
  • Singapore and Yokohama are also affected, with waiting times up to 36 and 24 hours, respectively.

Carriers are reporting widespread bunching and missed berths, forcing some vessels to skip port calls entirely. Simultaneously, container availability is tightening, especially in Shanghai and Ningbo, where carriers have begun rationing equipment based on rate levels and space commitments. Maersk and HMM are among those limiting container release in an attempt to balance capacity with available slots.

Further down the line, ports in southern China, Southeast Asia, and even intra-Asia trades are also reporting backlogs. Shenzhen, Hong Kong, Ho Chi Minh City, and Port Klang have all seen yard utilisation rise and service delays build.

Strain Spreads to Europe as Container Flows Disrupt
The congestion is not limited to Asia. As carriers reposition vessels and adjust service rotations to meet surging demand on eastbound transpacific routes, European ports are beginning to feel the knock-on effects.

In northern Europe:

  • Hamburg is facing 5–6½ days of berth delays,
  • Southampton and London Gateway are seeing 3-day waits,
  • Antwerp is experiencing severe disruption with delays extending to 15½ days,
  • Piraeus and Tangiers are also impacted, each facing waits of up to 4 and 3 days, respectively.

Labour shortages, reduced barge capacity on the Rhine, and tight schedules are compounding these delays. Meanwhile, rerouted vessels from Asia–Europe services are creating bunching at key transhipment hubs such as Bremerhaven and Hamburg, which in turn serve Scandinavia and the Baltic.

Equipment Shortages and Capacity Gaps Ahead of Peak Season
Container availability is expected to worsen in the coming weeks. With vessels already departing China at high utilisation levels, the return of empty containers and the repositioning of ships to Asia may not keep pace with demand.

If previously produced goods held in bonded warehouses are added to this surge in volumes during May, demand could increase by nearly 50%. A delay to June would ease the burden, but it could still be over 15%, which still represents a steep challenge ahead of the summer peak.

This front-loading of cargo to the US may lead to a sharp, compressed peak season starting now and stretching into mid-July, followed by potential equipment shortages and service volatility in August and beyond.

We are closely monitoring port performance, vessel schedules, and rate volatility across all major trade lanes, to support customers with:

  • Priority bookings and space management on transpacific and key routes
  • Equipment selection and container allocation strategies
  • Alternative routing and scheduling options to avoid bottlenecks
  • Global shipment visibility to SKU

EMAIL Managing Director Andrew Smith to discuss current conditions, risk mitigation, and booking options tailored to your business priorities.

COSCO appoint Metro partner

US Port Fees on Chinese-Built Vessels

May 20, 2025 | , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The United States Trade Representative (USTR) has finalised a revised plan to impose port fees on Chinese-built containerships calling at US ports.

This follows the reintroduction of the SHIPS for America Act, part of President Donald Trump’s broader push to revive the US shipbuilding industry and reduce reliance on Chinese maritime infrastructure.

While significantly less disruptive than the original February proposal, which threatened to add up to $1.5 million per port call and cost the industry $24 billion, the revised version will still increase shipping costs by approximately $1 million per voyage. These added costs may have ripple effects across global supply chains.

What’s Changing – and When?

USTR Port Fee

  • Start Date: Mid-October 2025
  • Escalation: Costs will increase every 180 days over a three-year period
  • Estimated Additional Costs:
    • Chinese operators (e.g. COSCO/OOCL): USD $250–$1,600 per TEU
    • Non-Chinese operators using China-built vessels: USD $100–$400 per TEU

Crucially, carriers will only be charged once per US rotation, not at every port call. Exemptions apply for:

  • Vessels under 4,000 TEUs
  • Voyages under 2,000 nautical miles
  • China-built vessels owned by US-based carriers

Carrier Reactions and Supply Chain Impacts
Most non-Chinese carriers are expected to redeploy tonnage to avoid the fees, shifting Chinese-built vessels away from US trades in favour of non-Chinese built ships. Some may elect to use transhipment hubs in the Caribbean to bypass direct calls to US ports.

Chinese carriers like COSCO and OOCL will be hardest hit. With limited ability to avoid the charges, these carriers may lean more heavily on alliance partners like CMA CGM or Evergreen, potentially distorting market dynamics and reducing competition on some transpacific routes.

Despite initial fears, widespread surcharges are currently seen as unlikely. Market competition and alternative capacity could prevent many carriers from passing costs directly onto shippers, tthough selective route-specific or carrier-specific fees may still emerge.

SHIPS for America Act
This proposed legislation, while not yet passed, aims to further penalise Chinese-built, -owned or -registered vessels. It also opens the door for other “countries of concern” to be added in future. No cost estimates have been released, but shippers should remain alert to potential follow-on impacts.

The evolving policy landscape introduces fresh uncertainty for importers and exporters, especially those with supply chains linked to Asia–US routes.

Metro is actively monitoring developments and engaging with carriers and industry bodies to stay ahead of the real-time implications. Our goal is to help customers navigate any changes smoothly and make informed decisions.

If your business could be affected by these measures, or you simply want to future-proof your supply chain with revised routing strategies and updated landed cost assessments, please EMAIL our Managing Director, Andrew Smith.

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US and India Trade Deals Open Doors for UK Traders

May 13, 2025 | , , , , , , , , ,

Two landmark trade agreements with the US and India promise to reshape supply chain opportunities for UK importers and exporters. Both deals offer a mix of immediate tariff relief and long-term potential to diversify sourcing and boost exports.

The newly signed UK-US agreement has reduced US tariffs on British automotive exports from over 25% to 10%, with an annual cap of 100,000 vehicles. While this cap closely matches current UK export levels, the reduced tariff eases pressure on British vehicle manufacturers, particularly those which had previously paused US shipments amid cost uncertainty. The agreement also removes the 25% tariff on UK steel and aluminium, helping lower input costs for UK manufacturers supplying US markets. However, US tariffs remain high for certain automotive parts and some categories of goods.

The agreement marks the first major trade pact since the imposition of US “Liberation Day” tariffs. While the deal falls short of a comprehensive free trade agreement, it provides immediate relief for supply chains and signals a willingness to continue negotiations on broader market access. The US has also committed to fast-tracking UK goods through customs, helping to ease some of the red tape associated with transatlantic trade.

In parallel, the long-awaited UK-India free trade agreement opens up new avenues for fashion and footwear supply chains. Tariffs on over 90% of UK exports to India, including clothing and footwear, will be phased out over a 10-year period. For Indian goods entering the UK, the deal eliminates nearly all levies, offering UK retailers access to competitive manufacturing without compromising quality.

The deal is particularly attractive for UK footwear brands and fashion houses already sourcing from India’s strong leather and non-leather production base. The expected reduction of tariffs and customs barriers is likely to enhance cost competitiveness and shorten lead times. With India’s middle class growing steadily—accounting for nearly a third of its population—the market also presents growing demand for high-quality, internationally recognised UK brands.

At the same time, the agreement offers UK fashion retailers a timely opportunity to diversify sourcing strategies away from markets where rising costs and geopolitical instability have made supply chains increasingly fragile. Industry experts believe some fashion retailers could improve margins by double digits once they fully leverage the benefits of the India deal.

For UK automotive exporters, the India pact includes a commitment to reduce tariffs on UK car exports from well over 100% to 10%. Although the final details of quotas and implementation remain under discussion, it represents the first step towards opening India’s protected automotive market to British manufacturers.

Both trade agreements offer UK businesses critical alternatives at a time of global uncertainty. They present clear potential for easing supply chain costs and improving market access for two key industries that underpin UK manufacturing and retail exports. However, much will depend on the full legal texts and how effectively the provisions are implemented in practice.

The new US and India trade agreements offer real and immediate opportunities. Whether you are looking to streamline transatlantic automotive exports, expand your retail footprint, or diversify fashion and footwear sourcing, Metro can help you unlock the full benefits of these landmark deals.

With decades of experience supporting UK importers and exporters, our expert team understands how to navigate new trade frameworks and optimise supply chain performance. We can help you fine-tune logistics, reduce costs and simplify customs compliance, to take advantage of the new tariff reductions and market access opportunities now on offer.

EMAIL Andy Smith, Managing Director, to find out how we can help you capitalise on these positive changes and build a resilient, agile supply chain ready for growth.

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March Airfreight Surge Sets Stage for Further Growth as US-China Trade Tensions Ease

May 13, 2025 | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Airfreight markets posted a record performance in March, with particularly strong activity on Asia, US, Europe and UK trade lanes. The surge, driven by shippers front-loading cargo ahead of anticipated US tariffs, has provided a benchmark for what could follow in the months ahead as recent tariff reductions between the US and China hint at a renewed spike in activity.

According to IATA, global demand measured in cargo tonne-kilometres rose by 4.4% year-on-year, with international cargo traffic increasing by 5.5%. Capacity, meanwhile, increased by a similar margin, helping to stabilise load factors despite the sudden surge in volumes. Asia-Pacific carriers led growth with a 9.6% rise in demand and an 11% increase in available capacity. North American airlines recorded a 9.5% increase in volumes, while European carriers posted a more moderate rise.

Asia-North America remained the largest and fastest-growing trade lane by market share, as exporters sought to avoid the sharp rise in tariffs. The Europe-North America route also experienced strong activity and was the busiest overall in March, underpinned by steady intra-European demand which grew by 2%.

The operating environment provided further stimulus, with world industrial output and global trade volumes expanding by just under 3%. Falling energy costs provided additional support, with jet fuel prices down for the ninth consecutive month. Inflation rates also stabilised across key markets, providing additional certainty for international shippers. China’s deflationary environment also showed signs of softening, with the rate improving to just below zero.

The result was a sharp escalation in demand from sectors that rely on rapid supply chains and cannot risk ocean freight delays. Electronics, high fashion, automotive and perishable goods were among the leading commodities contributing to the increased volumes.

The extraordinary March performance may not remain an isolated event. The recent temporary US-China tariff reduction has the potential to trigger another wave of increased airfreight activity.

While the extent of future growth will depend on how negotiations between the world’s two largest economies unfold, the easing of tariffs has already bolstered market sentiment.

However, market analysts note that after the March peak, demand may return to more typical seasonal levels in the short term, particularly as capacity has increased by over 6% on international routes, offering more space for shippers. Yet, the fundamental reliance on airfreight for high-value and time-critical shipments between Asia, the US, Europe and the UK remains unchanged.

Should trade relations between the US and China continue to thaw, the market could be poised for another significant uplift in volumes. The key will be whether the current political stability translates into sustained confidence among exporters and freight forwarders across these critical trade lanes.

With airfreight demand surging and tariffs in flux, now is the time to optimise your supply chain strategy. EMAIL Elliot Carlile, Operations Director, to explore how we can help you secure space and streamline your international shipments.

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