Balance tilting towards UK hauliers

Balance tilting towards UK hauliers

After years of competing on an uneven post-Brexit playing field, UK international hauliers are entering 2026 with structural advantages finally moving in their favour.

Regulatory change, rising cost pressures across the EU and tighter controls on cross-border movement are beginning to reshape who can compete most effectively in the UK–EU road freight market. While volumes remain contested, the direction of travel suggests improving competitiveness for UK-registered operators.

From 25 February 2026, foreign HGV drivers travelling to the UK who do not require a visa for short stays will need an Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA). Drivers without a valid ETA will not be permitted to board transport to the UK.

The Home Office has already rolled out port-based communications and visual assets to support compliance, signalling that enforcement will be practical and visible rather than theoretical. For UK hauliers, whose drivers already hold UK immigration status, this removes friction rather than adding it—reducing uncertainty at the border and improving journey reliability.

UK operators quietly rebuild momentum

Official data shows that UK-registered HGVs are beginning to recover ground in international movements. UK vehicles lifted 4% more international freight year on year, while the number of cross-border trips rose by 2%.

UK-registered vehicles now account for 13% of powered vehicle trips to Europe and that recent growth contrasts with a more challenging picture for foreign operators. Freight lifted by foreign-registered HGVs to and from the UK fell by over 5% in 2023, reflecting pressure on both import and export legs.

According to the Road Haulage Association (RHA), EU operators are entering a period of stagnation rather than expansion. Growth is constrained not by lack of demand, but by rising operating costs and regulatory pressure.

Fuel, tolls and insurance costs continue to increase across the EU, while driver shortages are forecast to reach 400,000 by 2026. At the same time, mandatory investment in digital systems and the EU Green Deal’s push towards alternative-fuel vehicles are adding capital strain, particularly for smaller fleets. New regulatory requirements are also tightening operational flexibility, limiting how easily EU hauliers can redeploy assets into the UK market.

The RHA concludes. “Since 2004, trips by total foreign-registered powered vehicles have outnumbered trips by UK-registered powered vehicles… the resilience and resourcefulness of UK international hauliers may finally put them at a competitive advantage in 2026, as the playing field changes.”

A more balanced market

Taken together, these factors suggest a gradual rebalancing rather than a sudden shift. UK hauliers benefit from regulatory alignment at home, fewer border compliance risks and improving international volumes, while EU operators face cost inflation, labour shortages and tighter access conditions.

In 2026, competitiveness is likely to be defined not by scale alone, but by compliance readiness, operational certainty and cost control—areas where UK hauliers are increasingly well positioned to compete.

As regulatory change reshapes cross-border haulage and competitiveness shifts, execution and network design matter as much as cost. Metro supports shippers with compliant, reliable road freight solutions across the UK and Europe, combining local operational strength with cross-border expertise.

As part of GB Global, Metro also benefits from access to commercial vehicle fleets operating in both the UK and EU, allowing capacity to be deployed where it delivers the greatest reliability and value. This balanced model helps customers manage risk, maintain service continuity and adapt as market conditions evolve.

EMAIL Managing Director, Andrew Smith, to find out more about Metro’s road freight capabilities

Smart 2026 supply chains are being engineered for pressure

Smart 2026 supply chains are being engineered for pressure

Supply chains are no longer judged on efficiency alone, in 2026 they will be expected to anticipate disruption and adapt at speed to actively support growth. The experience of the past year confirmed that stability is no longer a realistic planning assumption, but performance under pressure is.

Rather than a single crisis, 2025 delivered constant friction. Congestion resurfaced across ports and inland networks, capacity existed but was selectively deployed, and geopolitical and regulatory shifts altered trade flows long before any formal policy changes took effect. 

The result was a decisive shift in mindset: supply chains must be designed to operate in volatility, not merely recover from it.

That shift accelerates in 2026, as technology, resilience and sustainability converge to redefine how supply chains are planned, financed and executed.

Resilience becomes a competitive advantage

If 2025 proved anything, it was that capacity on paper does not guarantee performance in practice. Across ocean, air and road freight, service reliability was dictated by execution: blank sailings, schedule volatility and inland bottlenecks determined what actually moved.

In response, supply chain design is moving beyond simple continuity planning toward resilience, where networks are designed to adapt and improve under stress.

Common characteristics include:

  • Multi-route and multimodal playbooks rather than single-lane optimisation
  • Near-shoring and regionalisation to shorten lead times and reduce exposure
  • Centralised planning paired with regional execution for faster response

These approaches reflect a broader shift away from cost-minimisation toward risk-adjusted performance.

Warehousing becomes a strategic control point

Warehousing emerged as one of the most critical differentiators in 2025 — a trend that intensifies in 2026. With transit times less predictable and congestion harder to avoid, inventory positioning and fulfilment speed have become central to supply-chain resilience.

High-performing shippers increasingly treat warehousing as an active control layer, not passive storage. Key developments include:

  • Greater use of strategically located facilities to buffer disruption
  • Tighter integration between warehousing, transport and customs planning
  • Investment in automation and robotics that flex with demand and seasonality

This is particularly important as omnichannel and e-commerce pressures continue to grow, demanding seamless support for direct-to-consumer, BOPIS and rapid fulfilment models alongside traditional B2B flows.

From reactive networks to intelligent systems

One of the most significant changes heading into 2026 is the role of technology within supply chains. What began as analytical support is now moving into operational control.

AI-enabled tools are increasingly embedded across planning, procurement, inventory management and risk assessment, enabling supply chains to:

  • Anticipate disruption through predictive insights
  • Optimise routing, inventory and capacity decisions in near real time
  • Coordinate responses across multiple functions and geographies

As these systems become more connected, cybersecurity and data governance also rise sharply in importance. Protecting sensitive operational, commercial and customs data is now a core supply-chain requirement, not an IT afterthought.

Data quality, skills and execution define winners

Technology alone is not enough. The past year also highlighted a widening gap between organisations that could convert insight into action and those constrained by fragmented systems and poor data quality.

In 2026, competitive advantage depends on:

  • Clean, trusted and consistent data across logistics, customs and finance
  • Integrated platforms rather than disconnected tools
  • Teams with the skills to manage AI-driven, data-rich operations

Workforce transformation is therefore as important as digital investment. Roles are evolving toward data analytics, systems oversight and exception management, requiring targeted up-skilling to unlock value from new technologies.

Sustainability and compliance move into the operating core

Environmental and regulatory pressures are no longer peripheral considerations. Carbon pricing, emissions transparency, stricter customs enforcement and evolving trade rules are now shaping routing, mode selection and inventory strategy.

For most shippers, progress in 2026 will come less from premium “green” options and more from practical levers:

  • Smarter planning and consolidation
  • Modal optimisation and regionalisation
  • Stronger traceability and data governance

Sustainability and compliance have become operational constraints — inseparable from cost, resilience and service performance.

Designing supply chains that perform under pressure

Taken together, the direction of travel for 2026 is clear. Supply chains are being rebuilt as intelligent, integrated systems — shifting from reactive cost centres to strategic growth engines.

The most resilient networks are those that:

  • Integrate finance, procurement, logistics and technology decisions
  • Combine centralised control with regional agility
  • Invest equally in data, platforms, people and process

The objective is not to eliminate disruption, but to design networks that continue to perform when conditions are uncertain.

At Metro, this same mindset underpins how supply chains are assessed and supported. Stress-testing assumptions, strengthening visibility and applying execution-focused logistics, warehousing and transport strategies. In 2026, the differentiator will not be avoiding disruption, but owning a supply chain designed to operate through it.

Metro trailer tear

Rising Freight Crime Sparks Industry, Government and Police Action

Road haulage operators are on high alert as criminal activity peaks during the dark winter months, with investigations revealing how organised gangs are posing as legitimate operators, buying haulage companies, and infiltrating supply chains to steal trailer loads.

The scale of the threat is escalating, with freight-theft losses rising from £68m in 2023 to £111m in 2024 and industry experts warn the true cost could be up to seven times higher once vehicle damage, increased insurance, business disruption and wider supply chain impact are factored in.

A new national “flagging system” is now being trialled to better distinguish freight crime from general vehicle theft, enabling police and government to measure the true scale of the problem and coordinate a national response.

But the challenge remains vast, with criminals using increasingly sophisticated methods to identify high-value loads, monitor haulage movements, and exploit vulnerable roadside parking areas.

Curtain-slashing, door breaches, cloned paperwork and even purchasing haulage firms are increasingly common tactics. Popular stolen products — electronics, alcohol, tobacco, clothing and FMCG — are quickly dispersed across underground retail networks, fuelling other forms of organised crime.

Industry and Law Enforcement Mobilise

The Road Haulage Association (RHA), National Vehicle Crime Intelligence Service (NaVCIS), and transport bodies stress the urgent need for improved secure parking, stronger site accreditation, and better reporting structures.

NaVCIS, part-funded by the logistics industry, is already supporting police forces nationwide through Operation Opal, targeting serious organised acquisitive crime.

However, police leaders acknowledge resources have been “stretched” and further funding is critical to tackling the organised element of freight theft at scale.

Industry associations are also stepping up coordination. The Transported Asset Protection Association (TAPA) — which logged more than 5,800 cargo crime incidents in the UK in two years — has joined forces with The British International Freight Association (BIFA) to improve intelligence-sharing, strengthen supply chain security and support hauliers. Their collaboration aligns with the proposed Freight Crime Bill, due for its second reading in Parliament this month, following research by the All-Party Parliamentary Group on Freight and Logistics estimating freight-related crime cost the UK economy £700m in 2023.

Secure parking remains a priority, with the Park Mark Freight scheme establishing strict standards for perimeter security, CCTV, lighting and on-site patrols. Yet many motorway service areas and truck stops still fall short of best practice, leaving drivers and loads exposed.

Metro’s Proactive Steps to Reduce Cargo Theft

Metro takes a layered approach to reducing theft risk, combining trained personnel, rigorous procedures, and secure equipment. Our national fleet operates with:

  • Two or three-man crews for visibility and safety
  • Box trailers, providing enhanced protection compared with curtainsiders
  • Secure, well-lit, accredited parking facilities
  • Advanced tracking and monitoring for high-value loads

In addition, all Metro drivers follow strict security protocols, including:

  • Minimising unattended vehicle time
  • Avoiding discussions about load or route details
  • Conducting load and trailer checks after every stop
  • Reporting any irregularity in route, delivery address or customer instructions
  • Never picking up hitchhikers
  • Maintaining heightened awareness in known hotspot areas

These measures significantly reduce exposure. However, even the best operational precautions cannot eliminate risk entirely, especially when organised crime groups target all types of cargo, not just high-value shipments.

Why Insurance Matters More Than Ever

One of the harsh realities of rising freight crime is that standard carrier liability rarely covers the true value of goods. Carrier limits are calculated by weight, not cargo value, meaning claims for electronics, fashion, luxury goods and pharmaceuticals often fall short of replacement cost.

Metro strongly recommends securing All Risk marine insurance, which provides comprehensive cover against loss, theft, and damage throughout the entire transit and storage journey. We partner with leading insurance providers to offer:

  • Per-shipment or annual policies
  • Flexible, competitively priced cover
  • Protection aligned to specific cargo profiles
  • Specialist support for high-value and sensitive goods

With freight crime rising sharply — and becoming more sophisticated — comprehensive insurance is no longer optional. It is a critical layer of risk protection for every supply chain.

For more information on All Risk marine insurance and how to protect your cargo, EMAIL Laurence Burford, CFO at our Birmingham HQ.

Road freight prices edge higher in August

Road freight prices edge higher in August

Stronger August demand lifted UK road transport prices, with both haulage and courier markets firming despite fresh capacity entering the system.

The latest TEG Price Index shows overall prices rising nearly 2% month on month and sitting 2.4% above August 2024 levels. Haulage led the gains, up just over 2.5% on July and 3.6% year on year, while courier prices advanced 1.2% in the month to stand 1.3% higher than a year ago.

Seasonal spending around the late-summer Bank Holiday and warm weather drove a sharp 6.26% jump in transport demand, tilting the balance of the market. Additional supply helped restrain steeper inflation, but not enough to neutralise the upward pressure on rates.

Demand outpaces tight supply

Articulated vehicle demand surged more than 13% in August and was closely matched by an almost 15% increase in supply. Even so, articulated prices climbed over 3% month on month, reflecting continued operational constraints from annual leave and persistent driver shortages.

Recruitment challenges are feeding into wage trends: average HGV driver pay reached £42,121 in August, marking a second consecutive month above the UK national average. Fleet renewal is also lagging; SMMT data points to an 11% year-on-year decline in new HGV registrations, suggesting articulated supply could remain constrained even if demand stays elevated.

A recent cut in the Bank of England’s base rate to 4% supported consumer confidence and spending through the peak summer period, adding a further tailwind to freight demand.

Our network of national and pan-European operators provide solutions for every cargo type, shipment size and deadline, giving us the control and flexibility to shield customers from freight market price swings.

By planning the most efficient domestic and European routes, we keep your road transport moving reliably and competitively.

EMAIL our Managing Director Andy Smith to discover how our road freight solutions can strengthen and protect your supply chain.