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Uncertainty grows as US tariffs target China

Feb 5, 2025 | , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

While last-minute negotiations resulted in a temporary reprieve for Canadian and Mexican imports, President Trump’s new tariffs on Chinese goods from the 4th February have already triggered retaliation, adding further pressure to international supply chains.

US tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports have been put on hold for at least 30 days following security commitments from both nations. This delay offers temporary relief for critical trade lanes, including automotive components, electronics, and pharmaceuticals.

Canada has pledged increased border enforcement measures, including new personnel and surveillance technology, while Mexico has committed to deploying additional forces to its border. These actions have led to a pause in tariffs, but shippers should remain cautious as negotiations continue, with the risk of duties being reinstated if agreements are not finalised by March.

The US administration has implemented an additional 10% tariff on Chinese imports and in response China has introduced tariffs of up to 15% on selected US goods and imposed export controls, affecting critical technologies such as solar cell production. While these measures appear targeted, they contribute to an increasingly volatile trade environment, forcing businesses to reconsider sourcing strategies and logistics solutions.

US prepares further trade restrictions

Beyond tariffs, the US is tightening its stance on eCommerce imports by getting ready to suspend the de minimis exemption for shipments from China, as soon as adequate systems are in place to fully and expediently process and collect tariff revenue. Previously, goods valued under $800 could enter the US duty-free, but the removal of this exemption would be expected to severely impact cross-border eCommerce air cargo volumes.

In addition, new regulations, announced by US Customs and Border Protection, introduce additional filing requirements, increasing administrative burdens on online retailers and logistics providers. However, analysts suggest that while higher costs may impact some importers, consumer demand is unlikely to diminish significantly, given the relatively low average value of eCommerce purchases.

With ongoing negotiations between the US, Canada, and Mexico, and China’s measured response to tariffs, industry leaders remain cautiously optimistic. However, agility will be essential in navigating evolving trade policies and regulatory changes. As new agreements are brokered and tensions shift, shippers must remain adaptable to mitigate risks and capitalise on emerging opportunities.

As global trade policies shift and new tariffs reshape supply chains, proactive planning is more critical than ever. At Metro, we leverage award-winning services and deep industry expertise to help businesses navigate evolving trade barriers, regulatory changes, and supply chain disruptions.

Whether you need to mitigate the impact of tariffs, ensure compliance with new regulations, or adapt sourcing/export strategies, our tailored solutions keep your supply chain resilient and competitive.

EMAIL Andy Smith, Managing Director, today to explore how Metro can safeguard your supply chain and support your business in 2025 and beyond.

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Gemini Cooperation’s bid to transform reliability

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As the Gemini Cooperation officially launches, its promise of 90%-plus schedule reliability through a hub-and-spoke network is under intense scrutiny.

Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd, the two partners in the venture, aim to address persistent reliability issues in container shipping, where schedule adherence has remained stubbornly low, fluctuating between 50% and 55% throughout 2024.

Gemini’s hub-and-spoke model, which involves central hubs facilitating feeder services to final destinations, is designed to optimise transit efficiency. By consolidating mainline services at designated hubs, the carriers seek to mitigate congestion-related delays that can plague conventional port-to-port operations. 

With 340 vessels and a combined capacity of 3.7 million TEUs, the Gemini network will eventually offer 57 interconnected services – 29 mainline routes and 28 regional shuttles – once fully phased in by mid-year.

Overcoming historical challenges

Achieving the ambitious 90% schedule reliability target remains a formidable challenge, given the industry’s historical struggles with port congestion and operational disruptions. 

While Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd have consistently outperformed the industry average, their own reliability in 2024 remained below 60%. By controlling key transshipment hubs Gemini aims to establish a more predictable flow of goods. 

External risks, however, remain beyond the carriers’ control. Congestion at key ports in China, including Shanghai and Ningbo, has intensified due to demand outpacing capacity growth. The ability of the Gemini model to navigate such disruptions will be crucial in determining its success.

A question of market adoption

Beyond operational feasibility, the long-term viability of Gemini hinges on whether shippers are willing to prioritise schedule reliability over cost savings. The model’s success will depend on whether customers are prepared to pay a premium for consistency, particularly in an uncertain 2025 market. While some shippers may value reduced inventory costs enabled by greater reliability, past efforts to introduce premium services struggled due to market fragmentation and price sensitivity.

With the majority of shippers valuing end-to-end reliability rather than just punctuality between hubs, the challenge for Gemini will be to demonstrate that its model can deliver comprehensive benefits across the entire supply chain.

An industry-first experiment

With competing alliances, Ocean Alliance, Premier Alliance and MSC continuing to favour traditional port-to-port networks, Gemini’s decision to embrace the hub-and-spoke model sets it apart. For ‘Ocean’ and ‘Premier’ it is more or less ‘business as usual’, with their service structure based upon the current setups. 

In particular ‘Ocean’s’ network remains largely unchanged, except for the re-launch of a seventh Far East to Europe service. Further to this, the alliance will add the South Chinese port of Yang- pu, on Hainan Island, to two of its Asia to North America loops. 

‘Premier’ mainly maintains the former THEA services and it will compensate the departure of Hapag-Lloyd by slot agreements with MSC on Far East to Europe services. Operationally, the partners will keep full control of ‘their’ loops, while retaining an existing Vessel Sharing Agreement with Wan Hai Lines in the Transpacific trade. ‘Premier’s’ largest member, ONE, will also continue a Transatlantic Vessel Sharing Agreement with the members of ‘Ocean’. 

With the network still in its early stages, industry observers remain divided on whether Gemini can deliver on its promises. Yet, if the venture achieves its ambitious targets, it could compel competitors to rethink their approach. The coming months will provide the first indications of whether this bold experiment will reshape global container shipping or simply become another ambitious but short-lived attempt at reform.

Metro negotiates rates and volume agreements with a broad portfolio of carriers, including MSC and the three major alliances, ensuring shippers have access to the widest range of service options, port pairings, and competitive rates. 

Our tailored ocean freight solutions reflect each customer’s unique requirements and expectations, delivering optimised logistics strategies. For expert guidance EMAIL Andy Smith, Managing Director, to review your situation and find the best solution for your supply chain.

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UK trade expansion, investment, and regulatory shifts

Feb 5, 2025 | , , ,

While challenges remain, including rising costs and global economic uncertainties, the UK’s export trade environment is set for significant transformation, driven by infrastructure investments, regulatory updates, and evolving international partnerships.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves has outlined ambitious plans to boost growth, focusing on airport expansions, international trade missions, and economic cooperation with key partners. These initiatives come as Europe faces economic headwinds, underscored by a recent interest rate cut by the European Central Bank.

Infrastructure expansion to boost trade

Reeves has signalled strong government support for expanding the UK’s aviation infrastructure, including at Heathrow, recognising its critical role in trade and connectivity. 

The government is considering further development at Luton and Gatwick airports, in addition to backing expansion at London City and Stansted. The proposed reopening of Doncaster Sheffield Airport and the establishment of an advanced manufacturing and logistics park at Manchester Airport are expected to generate significant investment and job creation.

“A third runway at Heathrow should be a priority,” said Marco Forgione, director general of the Chartered Institute of Export & International Trade. “We also urge the government to invest in the UK’s broader infrastructure network, including road, rail, and ports, to remain competitive in the global market.”

Strengthening global trade ties

The UK government is ramping up efforts to strengthen international trade relationships. Business and trade secretary Jonathan Reynolds will lead a trade delegation to India next month, aiming to secure new partnerships and investment opportunities. Reeves also reaffirmed the UK’s commitment to leveraging its “special relationship” with the US, particularly under the administration of President Trump.

Meanwhile, China is solidifying its dominance in clean energy mineral supply chains, issuing loans worth billions to developing countries. This move highlights the urgency for the UK to secure its own critical mineral supply chains to support green energy initiatives.

Customs and regulatory updates

Changes in trade regulations continue to impact UK exporters. HMRC has announced the closure of the Modernising Authorisations project following a spending review. However, ongoing improvements to customs guidance and technical handbooks will still be delivered, ensuring businesses receive the necessary support for compliance.

Additionally, new safety and security requirements have been implemented, alongside updates to the Customs Declaration Service. These regulatory shifts reinforce the importance of businesses staying informed and adapting to evolving trade procedures.

UK-EU economic cooperation

The UK is pursuing deeper economic cooperation with the EU, with a proposal to link the UK and EU Emissions Trading Schemes (ETS). This alignment could help streamline cross-border trade and reduce compliance burdens when both parties fully implement their respective Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanisms (CBAMs). These mechanisms, designed to tax high-emission imports, aim to prevent carbon leakage by discouraging companies from relocating polluting activities to regions with looser environmental regulations.

EU officials have confirmed that the UK has requested ETS linkage and CBAM discussions to be included in an upcoming UK-EU summit. Minister for EU relations Nick Thomas-Symonds described this as an “absolute priority” for ensuring regulatory alignment and minimising trade disruptions.

Navigating the complexities of international trade requires real-time insights and expert guidance. At Metro, we continuously monitor market influences, including currency fluctuations, macroeconomic trends, and evolving regulations, to help you de-risk your supply chain and maximise opportunities.

Our MVT supply chain platform offers in-depth reporting, tracking global CO2 emissions and providing essential environmental compliance templates. Whether you’re entering new export markets, sourcing from fresh suppliers, or responding to regulatory changes, we provide tailored solutions to keep your business competitive.

With over 40 years of expertise in multimodal transport and customs brokerage, we lead the way with CuDoS, our automated customs declaration platform, ensuring swift compliance with UK and EU trade regimes.

Make informed decisions with Metro’s strategic support. For trade insights and risk management advice, EMAIL Laurence Burford, Chief Financial Officer. For customs and regulatory solutions, EMAIL Andrew Smith, Managing Director.

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Safety and security declarations for EU imports

Feb 5, 2025 | , , ,

From 31st January, businesses importing goods from the European Union (EU) to Great Britain (GB) must comply with new UK safety and security declaration requirements.

While some businesses are already prepared – voluntarily submitting around three million declarations annually – many others need to act quickly to ensure compliance.

New requirements explained

Following the UK’s exit from the EU, imports from the EU have been exempt from safety and security declarations. However, this waiver ends on 31st January, bringing EU imports in line with the requirements already applied to goods from the rest of the world.

Safety and security declarations provide pre-arrival information for goods entering GB. These are submitted via the Safety and Security Great Britain (S&S GB) IT platform. By collecting this data, authorities can conduct more intelligent risk assessments, minimising delays for legitimate goods while preventing illegal or dangerous items from entering the country.

Declarations must be completed accurately and submitted before goods reach the GB border. Failure to comply may result in delays, unnecessary checks, or penalties. Businesses are urged to prepare now to avoid disruptions.

All businesses importing from the EU to GB must be aware of these regulations. Hauliers and carriers are legally responsible for submitting declarations, although third parties, such as agents or intermediaries, can submit them on their behalf with consent. Responsibility varies by mode of transport.

Submitting safety and security declarations

Declarations are made via the S&S GB platform. Businesses already set up for importing from outside the EU can continue using their existing systems and datasets. However, they may opt for the reduced dataset for EU imports.

Specialist software is required to submit declarations, as S&S GB does not have a user interface. Businesses can either develop their own software, purchase compatible software, or use the services of a system provider.

HMRC’s advice for shippers is to use customs agents like Metro, that have instructed their hauliers and confirm that they have primary and contingency methods in place.

If changes occur, declarations can be amended at any point before the goods reach the GB border. Once accepted, a Movement Reference Number (MRN) will be issued. This number is essential for goods moving through ports using the Goods Vehicle Movement Service.

Metro’s role in supporting customers

Metro will handle these new requirements on behalf of its customers, ensuring compliance and minimising disruption. With expertise in customs processes and advanced systems like its proprietary CuDoS platform, Metro simplifies declaration submissions while maintaining 99% accuracy and rapid processing times.

This proactive approach ensures goods continue to move smoothly, enabling businesses to focus on growth while Metro manages the complexities of import declarations. For businesses navigating these changes, Metro provides the expertise and technology to stay compliant and avoid unnecessary delays.

Webinar

Metro’s customs team ran a webinar on Friday 31st January – “Navigate 2025: Customs Challenges and Changes with Confidence” – to explain these and other customs changes.

Hosted by Andy Fitchett, Head of Customs & Compliance and Matt Weight, Director of Key Accounts, the webinar reviewed new regulations, processes, and challenges for businesses across the UK and Europe, including:

– Mastering Safety and Security Declarations for EU imports.
– Updates on the New Computerised Transit System (NCTS) Phase 5.
– Understanding the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and its impact.
– DEFRA updates, market news, and more!

You can download the presentation material from the Webinar, or watch a recording of the webinar.

CLICK to download content

CLICK to view webinar

Metro are at the forefront of customs brokerage solutions, with our automated CuDoS declaration platform and dedicated team of customs experts, reacting swiftly to any changes in the UK and EU’s trading regimes.

To learn more about safety and security declarations, OR to see how we can simplify and automate customs declarations – please EMAIL Andy Fitchett, Brokerage Manager.

Category: International Trade

Air | International Trade | Sea | Supply Chain

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