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Turning disruption into decision advantage

Mar 3, 2026 | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The simultaneous disruption in the Persian Gulf and continued Red Sea avoidance is creating a supply chain shock without modern precedent. Metro’s latest application release is giving you unprecedented visibility.

With vessels held or diverting, Gulf-bound cargo potentially discharging at intermediate hubs, and 2%+ of the global fleet positioned in or near the Persian Gulf, pressure is rapidly shifting across global port networks.

Congestion is no longer isolated to one region. It is migrating.

Transhipment hubs such as Salalah, Khor Fakkan, Sohar, Duqm and Colombo are absorbing displaced volumes. Secondary effects are already emerging at Singapore, Port Klang and Tanjung Pelepas. As carriers reassess Gulf calls and reroute services, containers already on the water may face discharge changes, berth delays and inland knock-on disruption.

In this environment, traditional vessel tracking is not enough.

Shippers need early, reliable visibility into port performance — not just where the vessel is, but what will happen when it arrives.

Introducing port congestion visibility in Metro MVT

To support customers navigating this evolving situation, Metro has launched a new Port Congestion application within the Metro MVT Portal.

The solution provides real-time, data-driven insight into port conditions across key global gateways, enabling proactive planning rather than reactive firefighting.

Key Capabilities

Interactive dashboards deliver clear visibility of:

• Vessel Waiting Time
• Vessel Traffic at Port
• Vessel Days Wasted
• Vessel Dwell Time
• Country-level congestion trends
• Port-level congestion indicators

This allows customers to identify where congestion is building — often days or weeks before cargo arrival.

Why this matters now

With emergency war-risk surcharges applied, routing changes underway and air cargo capacity reduced, cost exposure is already rising. Port congestion adds a further layer of unpredictability.

Early visibility enables:

Smarter Routing Decisions

Assess risk exposure at potential discharge ports before cargo is affected.

Delivery & Warehouse Planning

Align inland haulage, labour and warehouse capacity with real arrival conditions — not estimated schedules.

Priority Management

Identify at-risk shipments early and protect critical cargo before delays escalate.

Cost Control

Reduce detention, demurrage and last-minute premium transport spend triggered by unexpected congestion.

From tracking to foresight

In today’s environment, supply chain resilience depends on anticipation.

Port congestion visibility transforms MVT from a tracking platform into a decision-support tool, combining global congestion intelligence with shipment-level visibility in one place.

As geopolitical volatility reshapes trade flows, having early insight into where disruption is building can materially change operational outcomes.

Accessing the capability

All MVT users with access to the Track & Trace application automatically have access to the new Port Congestion feature.

Your account director will be in touch to arrange a demo. For further information or a guided walkthrough, please EMAIL Ian Powell, Customer & Technical Solutions Director.

US Iran flags

Middle east Crisis: global network implications

Mar 3, 2026 | , , , , ,

The evolving security situation across the Middle East is now materially affecting both ocean and air freight networks, with implications extending far beyond the region itself.

The Middle East is currently classified as high-risk for international transport operations, and the resulting disruption is creating a supply chain shock with no modern precedent.

Unlike isolated regional events, this situation affects two of the world’s most critical trade corridors simultaneously: the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea/Suez route.

The ripple effects are already visible.

Ocean freight: structural disruption, not just diversion

Over 2% of the global container fleet is currently positioned in or near the Persian Gulf. Several major carriers have suspended Gulf bookings or limited transits through the Strait of Hormuz.

Whereas the Red Sea disruption allowed vessels to reroute via the Cape of Good Hope, extending transit times but preserving destination access, a full restriction in the Persian Gulf removes the destination entirely for Gulf-bound cargo.

This includes major transhipment hubs handling significant volumes between Asia, the Indian Subcontinent and Europe.

Carrier responses include:

  • Suspension of high-risk sailings
  • Diversion around Southern Africa
  • Vessels instructed to seek safe anchorage
  • Potential discharge of Gulf-bound cargo at intermediate hubs

Emergency war-risk and conflict surcharges are now being applied across specific Gulf and Red Sea routes, alongside sharply rising marine insurance premiums.

The likely secondary impact:

  • Port congestion at alternative hubs such as Salalah, Khor Fakkan, Sohar, Duqm and Colombo
  • Knock-on bottlenecks at Singapore, Port Klang and Tanjung Pelepas
  • Upward pressure on spot rates as effective capacity tightens

The displacement of volume may take weeks, potentially months, to stabilise.

Air freight: capacity shock across a critical corridor

Air cargo networks are also under pressure.

Regional airspace closures affecting the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, Iraq, Iran, Israel and Jordan have significantly reduced available lift.

Global air cargo capacity is currently down by approximately 18%, with Asia–Middle East–Europe capacity falling by around 26%.

Airlines are bypassing traditional Gulf hubs such as Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Doha, resulting in:

  • Increased direct Asia–Europe flights
  • Extended routings for India–Europe and India–North America
  • Congestion at alternative technical stops
  • A potential 7–10 day backlog, even with rapid reopening

Sustained disruption could result in upward rate movement, particularly on Asia–Europe lanes.

Wider Market Impact

Energy markets have reacted sharply, increasing fuel costs for both ocean carriers and airlines. This adds further upward pressure on operating costs and may feed through into freight pricing.

What This Means for Shippers

In practical terms, customers should expect:

  • Extended transit times
  • Volatile routing patterns
  • Increased surcharges
  • Greater congestion risk at transhipment hubs
  • Potential rate fluctuations

Visibility and proactive planning are now critical

At Metro, we are maintaining continuous liaison with carriers, airlines and insurers, actively reviewing alternative routing options and communicating directly with affected customers.

As geopolitical disruption reshapes trade flows, agility and early visibility will determine how effectively supply chains absorb the shock.

We will continue to provide structured updates as the situation develops.

If you would like to review exposure across your current shipments or upcoming bookings, our team is available to support scenario planning and contingency routing.

ULD on tarmac

Continued Airfreight Growth Amid Emerging Challenges

Nov 6, 2025 | , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Global air freight markets have continued to post positive year-on-year growth through September and October, reinforced by stronger than anticipated build up to peak season volumes, but recent indicators point to a moderating pace and emerging challenges that merit close attention.

While recent data points to a slowdown in momentum, overall performance remains solid, underpinned by stable demand, improved belly capacity and expanding connectivity on Asia-Europe and Trans-Pacific routes.

September: Stronger Demand and Broad-Based Recovery

According to IATA’s latest data, global air cargo demand rose nearly 3% year-on-year in September, with international volumes up 3.2%. Capacity grew by roughly 3%, maintaining a healthy balance between supply and demand. The Asia-Pacific region led the expansion with a 6.8% increase in volumes, while Europe recorded a 2.5% rise and Africa posted double-digit growth.

Growth was especially strong on the Europe–Asia (up over 12%) and 10% up within Asia corridors, reflecting continued confidence among exporters and manufacturers leveraging airfreight for time-sensitive and high-value cargo. With global manufacturing activity steadying and cross-border trade recovering, September marked one of the most stable months of the year for international air logistics.

October: Consistent Throughput Amid Changing Conditions

Preliminary October data shows global air cargo volumes continuing to rise (around 4% higher than last year) indicating that demand remains robust heading into the traditional year-end peak. Industry analysts note that the pace of expansion is easing slightly as the market adjusts to higher passenger aircraft capacity and shifting economic conditions, but the overall picture remains positive.

Regional patterns are mixed: Asia continues to drive growth, supported by strong eCommerce flows and resilient intra-regional trade, while the transatlantic market remains steady. Importantly, network connectivity and schedule reliability have improved further, helping shippers achieve greater predictability and shorter transit times across major gateways.

Outlook: Stable, Predictable and Customer-Focused

While the pace of growth is slowing, there are reasons for optimism, including sustained peak season volumes, robust growth across key Asian and African corridors, and ongoing demand from eCommerce and modal shifts due to ocean shipping disruption.

The industry faces headwinds from weakening rate trends and demand imbalances, but steady year-on-year increases, even as momentum tapers, position air freight for a resilient conclusion to 2025.

Overall, air cargo remains on a positive trajectory, delivering growth despite moderating demand and evolving market challenges, with adaptability and strategic planning key for stakeholders navigating this dynamic landscape.

With demand steady and networks evolving, securing lift and predictability is all about smart planning. Metro’s air team proactively monitors capacity, fine-tunes routings, and works with trusted carrier partners to keep your cargo moving—reliably and on time.

Our platform adds real-time confidence with flight telemetry that delivers:

  • Live aircraft position and route mapping
  • Accurate departure/arrival confirmation
  • Time-stamped milestones, updated in real time

Plan with certainty, optimise inventory, and protect service levels—even when conditions change.

EMAIL Andrew Smith, Managing Director, to explore smarter, faster, and more resilient air-freight solutions powered by live data and long-standing carrier relationships.

Suez convoy

When the Suez Canal Comes Back Online: Hidden Risks for Supply Chains

Oct 28, 2025 | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

With hopes rising of stabilising conflict in the Red Sea region, analysts are increasingly considering what it would mean if shipping lines resume full use of the Suez Canal route, and it’s not all good news. 

While the shorter route from Asia to Europe might seem like a logistical boon, the modelling suggests there are several material pitfalls ahead that shippers need to be aware of.

Since late 2023, container shipping lines operating on Asia–Europe and Asia–North America routes have avoided the Suez Canal, opting instead to sail around the Cape of Good Hope. This detour has extended transit times and absorbed a significant amount of global container capacity. According to Sea-Intelligence, a full and immediate return to the Suez Canal could release up to 2.1 million TEU of capacity, equivalent to around 6.5 % of the global fleet, back into circulation.

However, this sudden release would create a powerful surge of imports into Europe. Modelling suggests that if all carriers reverted to Suez routing at once, inbound volumes from Asia could double for a period of up to two weeks, pushing overall port handling demand almost 40 % higher than previous peaks. 

Even if the transition were more gradual, spread over six to eight weeks, European ports would still face throughput levels around 10 % above historical highs, straining terminal operations, inland connections, and storage capacity.

Key Areas of Risk

  • European Port Congestion and Hinterland Strain
    European ports are already under pressure. A sudden import surge could stretch terminal capacity, yard space, and inland networks, leading to delays, higher handling costs, and increased demurrage.
  • Short-Term Disruption Despite Long-Term Gains
    While the Suez route offers shorter transits and lower fuel use, the transition back is complex. Network structures have been rebuilt around the Cape, and reverting will require major re-engineering, with temporary schedule changes and service disruption.
  • Lingering Risk and Insurance Costs
    The security issues that diverted ships from Suez persist. Even after reopening, residual war-risk premiums and contingency measures could keep operating costs elevated.
  • Capacity Overshoot and Rate Pressure
    Releasing 2.1 million TEU of capacity is likely to swing supply–demand balance, pushing rates down and while shippers may benefit in the short-term, it is likely that carriers would take drastic action to protect margins.
  • Timing and Readiness
    The timing of a full return remains uncertain. Analysts stress that rushing back before networks and ports are ready could trigger fresh disruption rather than restoring stability.

Metro’s sea freight team are already modelling reopening scenarios to ensure capacity, routing, and contingency plans are ready when trade flows shift back through the Suez Canal. 

EMAIL Managing Director, Andrew Smith to arrange a strategic review of your shipping patterns, risk exposure, and options to protect service continuity and cost efficiency when routes realign.

Category: Middle East

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