Union Pacific

US landslide problems continue to grow, as shipping lines announce they are not accepting bookings requiring inland delivery

Container imports at the US’ ten largest ports increased 14.3% year-over-year in July and ocean freight supply chains, now in their second year of extreme dislocation, are threatened by shipping lines suspension of merchant haulage.

The complete erosion of sailing schedule reliability, ships waiting longer to berth, sub-standard port operations and delays unloading containers are among the major issues facing US importers. In fact this is similar globally – but the impact in North America is much greater with the continent predominantly land locked.

Drivers who transport ocean containers in the Midwest and South Central US are quitting in alarming numbers this year because rail terminal congestion has lowered their daily productivity and pay.

Drayage operators at the Port of New York and New Jersey expect capacity to tighten even further in the coming months as cargo volumes show no signs of slowing and drivers exit the business because of the increasing hassles they face pulling containers. In addition there has been a huge surge in demand for domestic haulage, which is seen as a better long term and more rewarding career. Sound familiar?

Approximately 40% of all containerised freight flowing through the United States arrives or departs through Los Angeles and Long Beach ports. With 31 vessels at anchor recently awaiting berths at LA/LB terminals, up from 20 in mid-July and 10 in June, it is clear that the ports are still struggling to address the congestion that has plagued the west coast throughout 2021.

National and regional drayage providers in the Southeast are fully booked, with smaller truck carriers charging premiums to pull import containers from Charleston, Savannah, and Norfolk.

And now shipping lines, many of whom have already stopped supplying chassis over the last 5 years, will no longer accept bookings through to door and those that do still offer it are passing on costs if delivery cannot be arranged within free time. This is the case from both coastal ports and inland rail heads and depots. It’s a major issue.

This is a potentially devastating development, that could see some shippers face massive rent charges, as the typical free period of 5-7 days will be woefully inadequate in the face of a two to three week wait for haulage and dwell times at inland ports exceeding seven weeks.

There’s a shortage of chassis, to move containers, everywhere, reflecting a market that has been tight since at least November 2020.

Low inventories reflect the longer dwell time for a chassis on daily rental, averaging about five days more than it was last year. The longer dwell time stems from a mix of tight warehouse space leaving containers on chassis longer and truckers holding on to chassis for longer periods, with daily rentals kept for up to 20 days.

The biggest drag on haulage productivity is the increasing difficulty truckers have in returning an empty container to the same terminal where they are picking up an import load, with less than 40% of empties returning to the same location.

Once freight is routed inland, a causality dilemma (i.e. chicken-and-egg) follows with chassis scarcity and slow rail service, each causing further impairment to the other.

Add in labour ‘issues’ throughout all phases of the supply chain, most notably COVID-related absences and  difficulties finding truck drivers and warehouse workers, and the supply chain storm is near perfect.

The US has been grappling with a chronic lack of drivers for years, but the shortage reached crisis levels when the pandemic sent demand for shipped goods soaring, creating a surge in early retirements, with turnover rates over 90% for large long haul carriers.

August is the beginning of the US ‘peak season’ from Asia, with many retailers advancing their shipments this year to ensure that sufficient inventory will be available during the holidays.

The number of imported TEUs in August is expected to increase 12.6% year-over-year to 2.37 million, which would surpass the record just set in May and a full-year target of 25.9 million TEUs, 17.5% higher year-over-year and another record is anticipated.

On the inland transportation side, many of the supply chain’s problems have been placed on the railroads, but they maintain that a lack of capacity in the terminals is the reason for service issues.

Issues beyond the railroads’ control, like shortages of drivers and chassis are the reasons why trains are being delayed.

Dray capacity is a particular issue, with containers stuck in stacks because the chassis needed to put them into service are not available.

In July, the Union Pacific railroad suspended international container movements from West Coast ports to Chicago for one week to allow the network time to catch up. 

In short, it’s everybody’s fault, and nobody’s, because the volume surge has affected every part of the supply chain. There is no single participant – shipping line, railroads, truckers, marine terminals, or cargo owner warehouses and distribution centres – that can clear the bottlenecks and congestion singlehandedly. Every touch point of a container or kilo of cargo is effected with each impacting on the next in the supply chain.

And, along the way, as delays mount, prices rise along the supply chain. Terminal operators start charging for chassis and containers sitting too long in their facilities. Shipping lines keep raising rates and adding surcharges, like congestion fees, while transport operators start charging container storage in their yard, and add driver surcharges, to improve retention.

While congestion and/or disruption is unavoidable at many locations, we work closely with our colleagues in the US, to do everything we can to ease its impact and provide alternative solutions where necessary. 

We will continue to monitor and report on this developing situation, to keep you updated as conditions change. 

If you have any questions, concerns, or would like any further information regarding the situation in the United States, please dont hesitate to contact Kevin Lake, who leads our North American operations. 

Is short sea Brexit proof

Why container transit times matter

The circulation of container equipment and vessel schedule reliability continues to be a struggle, with our own analysis confirming that transit times from key origins increased by an average of 14 days and while some improvements have been made, we expect these to be undermined by the Yantian and Ningbo terminal closures.

Aside from the pandemic itself, there is not a single root cause for the continued supply chain disruption we are facing. The situation is an intertwined blend of port congestion, vessel shortages and schedule disruption, container equipment shortages, chassis shortages, rail shortages, and driver and truck shortages. This is a Global situation and not unique to the UK and Europe further magnifying the impact at every supply chain ‘touch point’ of a container movement in transit.

However, there is not really a shortage in the number of containers and vessels available to handle the amount of cargo in need of shipping.

The real problem is that it now takes much longer to move the cargo (and the equipment carrying it) which removes large amounts of capacity and that is what creates the shortage in the number of containers and vessels available.

Without enough capacity to move cargo in need of transport, freight rates surge as shippers decide not to risk losing the sale of the cargo against paying elevated rates to try to ensure their product arrives into market for manufacture or sale, or both.

The long list of global operational challenges in 2021 is keeping the level of available vessel and equipment supply under severe pressure, including port congestion, bad weather delays, labour disputes, shortages of truckers, Suez, Yantian, Ningbo, insufficient rail capacity, empty box shortages in key locations, and quarantine and social distancing in terminals, depots, warehouses, and for vessel crews.

All these elements combined slow down the circulation of container equipment and slow down the progress of vessels travelling from port to port.

Only about 40% of container ships arrived on time in the first quarter of 2021, with average delays stretching to more than six days, which is far behind pre-pandemic reliability levels of 70%.

Our review of four key China origins - Ningbo, Qingdao, Shanghai and Yantian - confirms that between last October and February 2020 transit times from each origin had increased by an average of 14 days and while some improvements have been made, we expect these to be undermined by the recent terminal closures at various Chinese ports and throughout Asia.

When carriers report on transit times they do so based on pier to pier, or quay to quay,  performance and do not take into account vessels held at anchor, the time taken to unload the vessel and make containers available for collection, or the inland leg to final delivery.

It is also worth noting that carriers do not take into consideration omitted ports and what happens to consignments that are offloaded en-route, or transhipped as a result to the final destination.

For shippers, any lost days are critical, because they have inventory (and cash) potentially tied up for extended periods, waiting for containers to arrive, unload and progress through to delivery.

Higher freight costs and delays are particularly hard for smaller businesses, with less stock on hand, to buffer supply disruption, which is why we have worked so hard to expedite the movement of landed containers to delivery. With the average time of 7 days between container arrival and final delivery, being maintained from August 2020 to last month. However even this element of a container movement is being disrupted with the inland issues with well-publicised driver shortages over recent months.

Metro negotiate rate and volume agreements with carriers across all three alliances, which means we can access the widest pool of equipment and offer shippers the biggest range of service offerings, port-pairings and rates.

Our fixed validity contracts provide supply chain security and peace of mind, but with space and equipment in such short supply, we recommend a minimum of four weeks visibility and booking window, to secure space on the vessel and get the right equipment positioned.

We will always keep you informed of the market situation and provide clear guidance on alternative options for critical cargo, when necessary.

Please contact Elliot Carlile or Grant Liddell to learn how we can support your supply chains, even in the most challenging market conditions.

Ningbo

Global vessel congestion and schedule delays grows further after Ningbo closure

Just two weeks since the Ningbo-Zhoushan containers terminal closed after a worker tested positive for COVID-19 and container port congestion has spread across China and many other regions.

Data from consultancy eeSea highlights how global container port congestion has grown over the past fortnight in China and neighbouring nations, yet has momentarily eased in Europe. Not unsurprising as there is a lag between departure and arrival of vessels, as they transit from Asia to Europe, so we may see impacts in coming weeks, as delayed vessels begin to arrive.

The maps show congestion today versus two weeks ago, with 48 container ships currently waiting at Ningbo-Zhoushan and a percentage of 65% of vessels waiting versus in port.

Shanghai is inching upwards, at 52%, and Yantian (68%), Hong Kong (55%) and Shekou/Chiwan (67%) are also on an upwards trend. Busan, which is usually quite low, is now at 70%, with 14 vessels waiting outside.

The average number of weekly port calls to Ningbo fell 22% from 188 container vessels to 146 in the first week of closure, but the total vessel capacity calling at the port only dropped 7.8%, because the other four terminals at the port absorbed the inbound and outbound container traffic redirected from Meishan.

Outside of east Asia, there has yet to be a major spill over from the Ningbo closure into other Asian ports. The port authority in Ningbo-Zhoushan is slowly implementing a reopening of its Meishan terminal, a facility which accounts for around 20% of the approximate 30m teu that pass through the port annually.

Throughput will be increased in phases to reduce the backlog of containers, with resumption of container gate operations due to start yesterday and a full reopening scheduled for the 1st September. This will take time to filter through into carrier schedules and reliability and will not be an immediate ‘fix’.

Chinese authorities have been stringent with COVID testing. Many ports (and airports) are requiring nasal swab tests for entire crews, forcing vessels to remain outside the harbour until negative results are confirmed. And many ports are requiring vessels to quarantine for two to four weeks if they were previously berthed in India, where the delta variant surged during the summer and continues to have an impact throughout Asia.

The risk of a coronavirus outbreak at Chittagong port is rising as the presence of the deadly virus was detected in the crews of two vessels in the last week and a crew member of the 11,000TEU YM TRAVEL, was tested positive for COVID-19, resulting to schedule delays for its transpacific service. This is in a country that is only just coming out of strict government  lockdowns and has huge issues with congestion already at the port, which is also having a huge impact on aviation from Dhaka globally as ocean freight delays prevail.

India’s worst-ever sea freight capacity crunch has led to skyrocketing freight rates and a sold-out spot market to Oceania, West Africa, North and South America, as well as Europe. Carriers have announced a number of general rate increases and peak season surcharges (PSSs) which have seen freight rates double since July.

Retailers and other importers are increasingly trying to switch from ocean to air transport to make up for huge production slowdowns in Vietnam due to COVID-19, with air freight rates rapidly escalating because of the spike in demand.

The shift to air follows the Vietnamese authorities response to rising numbers of COVID-19 cases in the south, in extending by a month stringent controls on movement that have crippled factory production and sharply reduced freight activity at ports and airports. Many factories remain closed.

According to the Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association, nearly 90% of the industry’s supply chain has been significantly impacted by the partial lockdowns, with up to 80% of garment and textile companies in the southern provinces completely halting production. In the north, about 20% to 30% of the textile and apparel suppliers have halted production.

COVID-19 is also affecting Cambodia, which is complicating land-air shipments via Saigon and Bangkok. The rate from Thailand’s capital has more than doubled from pre-pandemic norms.

Our commercial and operations teams work closely with our partners across Asia and while we expect the situation in Ningbo and surrounding ports will improve, as Meidong reopens properly, we will continue to assess its impact on a shipment by shipment basis.

For urgent and must have shipments from Asia, we have access to freighter capacity from our Sea/Air hub in Singapore and can move consignments of up to 200cbm per flight to Europe as an alternative to restricted pure air freight services from many origins.

If you have any questions, concerns, or would like any further information regarding any of the issues raised here, please don’t hesitate to contact Elliot Carlile or Grant Liddell.

Ningbo 1

Ningbo container terminal to reopen

Ningbo Meidong Container Terminal will open tomorrow, having suspended all operations early last Wednesday morning after a port worker tested positive for COVID-19. Local sources now advise that the Meishan Island container terminal will restart operations from 18th August.

Despite the Ningbo port authority claiming that it had been able to work at 90% capacity in recent days, many ships are switching to different terminals and AIS data shows around 50 container vessels waiting at the outer Zhoushan anchorage.

Operations were suspended after a 34-year-old worker at the Ningbo Meidong Container Terminal (part of Ningbo’s Meishan bonded area) tested positive for COVID. More than 90,000 people have been tested over the past week with no further positive cases reported.

We are receiving (as yet unconfirmed) news that Ningbo’s shuttered Meidong container terminal will start a phased reopening tomorrow.

To clear the backlog of cargo, no new cargo will be accepted until the 25th August, with normal operations resuming from the 1st September.

The timeline is similar to the way Yantian reopened in June and will be in accordance with China’s COVID-19 policies.

Though significant, the disruption at Ningbo is significantly less than that which followed the Yantian closure, for around a month in May.

Port authorities claim that container volumes at Ningbo-Zhoushan port averaged 77,000 TEU a day between Wednesday and Friday last week, equivalent to 90% of the daily average in July.

The Meidong facility — also known as the Meishan Island International Container Terminal (MSICT) — handled around 22% of Ningbo-Zhoushan’s total throughput of 28.7 million TEU last year.

We are now on day seven of the closure and ships are being diverted to other terminals in Ningbo and other ports, including Shanghai, which are already running at full capacity, in the aftermath of Typhoon In-fa, with some imposing restrictions limiting the number of people and containers entering port areas.

Gate-in for export containers at other Ningbo terminals is limited to two days before a vessel’s estimated time of arrival, although entry to the container yard can be up to three or four days depending on the situation.

The closure of the Ningbo Meidong terminal is likely to lead to problems with trucking as well, as average wait times are currently 2-4 days and you can add another day onto dwell time for every day Ningbo Meishan terminal is closed.

Our commercial and operations teams work closely with our partners across Asia and while we expect the situation in Ningbo will improve swiftly, after Meidong reopens, we will continue to assess its impact on a shipment by shipment basis.

For urgent and must have shipments from Asia, we have access to freighter capacity from our Sea/Air hub in Singapore and can move consignments of up to 200cbm per flight to Europe.

If you have any questions, concerns, or would like any further information regarding any of the issues raised here, please don’t hesitate to contact Elliot Carlile or Grant Liddell.